Prediction Edge
Democrat
Victor Arias

Victor Arias

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-19 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

11%chance to win

$2.3KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationHamilton College (degree)

Notable personal detailsVictor M. Arias is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He is an attorney and managing attorney/owner of Arias Law Firm, and has lived in Florida since 1991. He previously ran for Lee County District Superintendent of Schools (2024). He attended Hamilton College and earned a J.D. from SUNY Buffalo Law School.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports protecting and strengthening Medicare, expanding Medicare drug-price negotiation and capping seniors' out-of-pocket costs, ending surprise medical billing, and expanding access via community health centers and mobile services.

Climate & Energy

Focuses on local water-quality and conservation priorities for Southwest Florida, including full federal funding for Everglades restoration, Lake Okeechobee discharge reform, and research to combat red tide; does not articulate national emissions targets, clean-energy mandates, or fossil-fuel policy in the cited campaign materials.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 30, 2026

Victor Arias is in the news as one of the Republican candidates in Florida’s 9th Congressional District primary. The race is drawing attention because candidates are competing on issues like affordability, housing, taxes, utilities, education, immigration, and the environment as they seek the nomination to challenge incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Recent coverage also places him in a broader crowded Republican field in Florida congressional politics, with no clear frontrunner in the wider race environment.

fec.gov+43

Endorsements

6
FL-19 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$45.4K
$34.0K
$22.7K
$11.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$45.4K
$19.2K
$26.2K
$1.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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