Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

IN-05 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Victoria Spartz

    Will Republican win the House race for IN-05?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:36 AM UTC

RepublicanIncumbent
Victoria Spartz

Victoria Spartz

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Indiana

Saved odds — IN-05 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

77%chance to win

$244.9KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age48 years old (Oct 6, 1978)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationIndiana

BackgroundPolitician

EducationB.S., National University of Economics (Kyiv, Ukraine)

Notable personal detailsVictoria Spartz is a Ukrainian-born American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Indiana’s 5th congressional district (in office since January 3, 2021). She previously served in the Indiana State Senate (2017–2020) after being appointed to fill a vacancy. Before elected office, she worked in public accounting and finance, including serving as CFO at the Indiana Attorney General’s Office, and has been a business owner in financial consulting, farming, and real estate. She earned degrees in economics and business from the National University of Economics in Kyiv and a master’s degree in professional accountancy from Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Victoria Spartz advocates for limited government, fiscal restraint, and free‑market solutions and has supported votes and positions favoring tax cuts and reduced spending. She has publicly highlighted concern about rising federal debt and called for spending offsets rather than tax increases. Advocacy groups that track economic votes rate her as strongly pro‑tax‑cut/economic‑freedom on her congressional voting record.

Healthcare

Supports market-based approaches to health care, emphasizing limited government, individual decision-making, competition, and measures to curb hospital consolidation and health care costs. Has opposed the Affordable Care Act and served on Republican health affordability task forces while sponsoring legislation to increase competition in the hospital market.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and tighter use of parole authority, criticizes current administration policies as creating perverse incentives that aid cartels and trafficking, and has called for border fixes and faster processing of asylum seekers. Advocates classifying cartels as terrorist organizations and emphasizes short-term enforcement measures alongside calls for improved legal immigration infrastructure.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Victoria Spartz holds a pro-life position opposing abortion access and supports restrictions on abortion. She has received endorsements and high ratings from pro-life organizations and has voted for legislation restricting or limiting abortion-related policies while opposing pro-choice measures. Her public statements emphasize defending unborn life and preventing taxpayer funding of abortions.

Climate & Energy

Supports domestic energy production and energy security, emphasizes market-based solutions and protecting jobs while expressing skepticism about aggressive climate regulations; opposes certain environmental regulations or funding measures that she views as partisan or harmful to domestic energy.

Public Safety & Guns

Victoria Spartz supports broad Second Amendment protections and measures to limit state and local restrictions on carrying firearms; her congressional record shows cosponsorship of bills to prohibit penalties for carrying and to lower the federal minimum age to obtain a handgun from a Federal Firearms Licensee. She has also been publicly cited for bringing an unloaded handgun through airport security in July 2024.

Latest Polls

IN-05 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.8%
Victoria Spartz
V. Spartz
Date (Start - End)SpreadSpartz
Polling Average
–47.8%
Quantus InsightsOct 21 - 22
–47.4%
Expedition StrategiesSep 30 - Oct 4
–48.0%
Impact ResearchJul 16 - 20
–48.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$4.2M
$3.1M
$2.1M
$1.0M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.2M
$1.6M
$2.7M
$112.0K

Cycle 2024

$2.0M
$258.1K
$3.3M
$137.5K

Cycle 2026

$1.3M
$230.0K
$1.4M
$75.3K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • News
  • Endorsements