$19.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 86% | $1.33M | |
| 17% | $582.1K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The provided news does not include any candidate, polling, or result update for Indiana's 5th Congressional District. The Indiana item in the summaries is a primary result in the 1st District, plus a separate state-level GOP nomination for Secretary of State. Based on this material, IN-05 remains unchanged. No direct IN-05 development is reported here, so the market impact is limited. The lack of district-specific news leaves the race outlook unchanged based on these summaries.
In today’s edition, we take stock of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign this month as Ken Paxton and James Talarico look ahead to the general election in Texas.
Former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein has won the Republican primary in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District over Rep. Thomas Massie.
Voters chose candidates to run in November's midterms.
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Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
Indiana's race for Secretary of State became more competitive over the weekend as Republican delegates rejected Secretary of State Diego Morales and selected Max Engling to face potentially three other candidates.
Voters in the Lone Star State will make their second attempt to nominate a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in a primary runoff election on Tuesday, the electoral version of the Texas two-step.
Trump touted a 37-0 record in Tuesday's GOP primaries, including Ed Gallrein's ouster of Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's closely watched congressional race.
After another GOP defeat, the president's communications director did not hold back.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
V. SpartzVictoria Spartz
J. FordJ.D. FordSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
