Prediction Edge
Republican
Dusty Johnson

Dusty Johnson

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

Age49 years old (Sep 30, 1976)

GenderMale

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LocationSouth Dakota

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationB.A., University of South Dakota (1999)

Notable personal detailsDustin Michael “Dusty” Johnson (born September 30, 1976) is an American politician who has served as the U.S. representative for South Dakota’s at-large congressional district since January 3, 2019. Before Congress, he served on the South Dakota Public Utilities Commission (2004–2011) and as chief of staff to Governor Dennis Daugaard (2011–2014). He has also worked as a telecommunications business executive, including as a vice president at Vantage Point Solutions. He lives in Mitchell, South Dakota with his wife and their three sons.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief and lower taxes for homeowners and businesses, favors extending current federal tax rates and reducing federal spending through targeted cuts. Proposes state-level property tax credits and temporary tax holidays for first-time homebuyers while advocating for balanced budgets and spending reductions.

Healthcare

Supports market-oriented changes to lower costs and is a critic of the Affordable Care Act; has defended Republican budget plans that include reducing federal spending on health programs such as Medicaid.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures (including backing H.R.2 and border funding/operations) while also expressing interest in changes to legal immigration processes for high-skilled/students. Emphasizes not rewarding illegal entry over those who follow legal immigration channels.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes himself as pro-life, saying the unborn deserve protection and that life begins at conception; he has supported federal measures restricting abortion access such as a 15-week ban with exceptions and has voted for legislation limiting federal funding for abortion. He has received high ratings from pro-life advocacy groups and opposed measures expanding abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Supports expansion of domestic biofuels and policies that boost American energy production while opposing re-entry or binding commitments to international climate agreements and some broad regulatory approaches. Emphasizes market-based and agricultural-focused solutions (e.g., Renewable Fuel Standard reforms and E15 expansion) rather than aggressive emissions-target legislation. Has opposed specific federal climate actions he viewed as improper mechanisms for rejoining the Paris Agreement.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports broad Second Amendment rights and has sponsored legislation to expand lawful firearm access for tribal members. He has said he is not in favor of banning assault weapons and has opposed red flag-style firearm seizure measures and other major new federal gun restrictions. His record and endorsements indicate alignment with pro-gun-rights positions and organizations.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMay 19, 2026

Dusty Johnson is leading the South Dakota Republican governor primary, with recent polling putting him ahead of the field but still short of the 35% needed to avoid a runoff. He has also been drawn into a dispute with Gov. Larry Rhoden, who accused Johnson of trying to pressure him not to enter the race; Johnson denied the claim. Johnson has been calling for changes to South Dakota’s clemency process as debate grows over Noem-era commutations. The race is now in its final stretch before the June 2 primary.

history.house.gov+32

Polls

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
31.7%
27.3%
14%
10.7%
Dusty Johnson
D. Johnson
Larry Rhoden
L. Rhoden
Toby Doeden
T. Doeden
J. Hansen
Date (Start - End)SpreadJohnsonRhodenDoedenHansen
Polling Average
Johnson+4.4
31.7%27.3%14.0%10.7%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 7 - 11
Johnson+16.2
34.0%17.0%17.4%17.8%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Johnson+10.5
28.1%16.6%17.6%13.6%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 2 - 5
Johnson+5.0
33.0%28.0%16.0%10.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 2 - 5
Rhoden+9.0
39.0%48.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyOct 16 - 20
Johnson+1.0
28.0%27.0%15.0%10.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 9 - 11
Johnson+1.0
28.0%27.0%4.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$5.2M
$3.9M
$2.6M
$1.3M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.6M
$2.3M
$1.3M
$54.9K

Cycle 2024

$4.4M
$5.2M
$1.5M
$60.6K

Cycle 2026

$1.7M
$4.6M
$2.3M
$152.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements