Prediction Edge
High Impact15d
William Lawrence

William Lawrence

30%45%

Lawrence’s Democratic nominee odds in Michigan’s 7th District fell from 15% to 45% in the last hour, a sharp repricing that could quickly reshape the primary front-runner picture.

Democrat
William Lawrence

Latest Insights

MI-07 Democratic nominee?

15dHigh Impact

Lawrence’s Democratic nominee odds in Michigan’s 7th District fell from 15% to 45% in the last hour, a sharp repricing that could quickly reshape the primary front-runner picture.

45%30%

MI-07 Democratic nominee?

15dHigh Impact

Lawrence’s win odds fell from 15% to 45% in the last hour, a large repricing in a competitive primary that could quickly change trader positioning.

45%30%

MI-07 Democratic nominee?

18dHigh Impact

William Lawrence is now the front-runner at 46%, with a 12.0-point lead in the Michigan 7th District Democratic nominee race.

46%

Overview

Current roleCommunity organizer

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationMichigan

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BackgroundCommunity organizer

EducationEast Lansing High School (graduate)

Notable personal detailsWilliam Lawrence is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has been described as a progressive activist and community organizer from the Lansing/East Lansing area and is publicly associated with the Sunrise Movement as an early co-founder. His campaign platform emphasizes lowering cost of living, housing affordability, healthcare, climate and water protection, and opposition to “endless war.”

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports a billionaire minimum (a minimum wealth tax on the mega-wealthy) and opposes corporate tax giveaways such as generous data-center tax breaks. Advocates shifting priorities toward domestic economic investment and policies that increase taxes on the ultra-wealthy to fund public needs.

Healthcare

William Lawrence identifies healthcare as a campaign priority and says he would invest in “good health care,” emphasizing affordable and quality care as part of domestic policy priorities. Public materials and press coverage describe him as a progressive activist focused on expanding access but do not provide a clear policy prescription (for example, support for Medicare for All, a public option, or specific market-based reforms).

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Immigration & Border

Supports ending ICE operations in cities, opposes local law enforcement cooperating with ICE, and endorses a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants. Expresses concern about detention processing centers and racial profiling by immigration enforcement.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive federal investment to address climate change, defend water/land/air, and drive down household energy costs; has a long record as a co‑founder and national organizer of the Sunrise Movement, which elevated the Green New Deal in U.S. politics.

Polls

Data for Progress
25%20%15%10%5%0%
20%
William Lawrence
W. Lawrence
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Data for ProgressApr 28, 2026
20.0%
Strategic NationalMar 18, 2026
5.9%
Impact ResearchMar 9, 2026
17.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$572.3K
$429.2K
$286.2K
$143.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$572.3K
$351.1K
$221.2K
$14.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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