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2026 Michigan House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Michigan House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

MI-07 House winner?

$35.6K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Sep 10, 2026, 5:23 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
William Lawrence	54%	—	$1.12M
Tom Barrett	46%	43.7%	$6.31M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 5:23 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$35.6K

24h volume

$18

W. Lawrence54%

T. Barrett46%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

MI-07 House winner?

Tom Barrett has raised $6,306,827.61 this cycle, but William Lawrence holds the lead in the latest odds for "MI-07 House winner?"

44%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

There are no direct updates on Michigan's 7th district in the provided news. The Michigan-related items focus on other races or opinion commentary, not this contest. As a result, there is no clear new signal for the market. No clear market-moving information for Michigan's 7th district is provided here. The race looks unchanged based on these summaries, with uncertainty still high.

Articles

CCCincinnati Cincinnati Enquirer6 days ago

Candidates, races and ballot issues

Ohio voters will decide races for governor, US Senate and other statewide offices in 2026. Some congressional races could be key to control of Congress.

BNBreitbart News Network16 hours ago

Unprecedented Spending Could Be Republicans' Midterm Trump Card

Never before has a president's political operation invested in a midterm the way President Trump and the MAGA movement are backing Republicans this year.

AOArkansas Online21 hours ago

COLUMNIST: What socialists really want

Michigan's mid-term election ballot is littered with socialists.

CSChicago Sun-Times1 month ago

El-Sayed has his work cut out between now and November

Democrats' Senate nominee in Michigan and other progressive will have have to quickly reckon with party divisions, starting with trying to lure Black voters.

THThe Holland Sentinel1 month ago

Why Michigan’s 7th and 10th House races matter in November

Only a handful of House districts are truly competitive. Michigan has two, and both could offer clues about where voters are headed.

DFDetroit Free Press1 month ago

These are the candidates on ballot for US House in Michigan primary

A couple of open seats, a tossup district in mid-Michigan and a Democratic challenge in Detroit round out the list of Aug. 4 primary contests.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat1 month ago

Democrats see a chance to flip a seat as focus on abuse claims mounts against Ohio Rep. Max Miller

Allegations against U.S. Rep. Max Miller, a White House adviser during President Donald Trump’s first term, have been public for years but have recently drawn increased media scrutiny.

NNewsweek1 month ago

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.

TBThe Boston Globe3 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Democrats try to defend California and make inroads in Iowa

Here are some things to watch as voters in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota cast ballots.

TNThe New Yorker4 months ago

Can the Democrats Take Back the Senate?

Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Oct 27, 2025 and Jun 30, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

43.7%

T. Barrett

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Barrett
Polling Average	–	43.7%
Data for ProgressJun 24 - 30	–	46.0%
Data for ProgressJun 24 - 30	–	47.0%
Public Policy PollingApr 24 - 25	–	44.0%
Public Policy PollingApr 24 - 25	–	45.0%
Public Policy PollingOct 27 - 28	–	41.0%
Public Policy PollingOct 27 - 28	–	39.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 15, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

T. Barrett

W. Lawrence

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

T. BarrettTom Barrett

$6.31MContrib: $4.82M

$2.87MSpent: $3.46M

$182.0KLast period: $87.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

W. LawrenceWilliam Lawrence

$1.12MContrib: $1.11M

$383.1KSpent: $736.1K

$38.7KLast period: $127.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

2026 Michigan House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

MI-07 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines