Prediction Edge
Democrat
William Lawrence

William Lawrence

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

William Lawrence is trading at 68% to win the MI-07 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCommunity organizer

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationMichigan

BackgroundCommunity organizer

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EducationSwarthmore College (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsWilliam Lawrence is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He is a community organizer and activist known for co-founding the Sunrise Movement and for housing/tenant organizing work in mid-Michigan. He attended Swarthmore College, earning a B.A., and has been based in the Lansing-area.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports a billionaire minimum (a minimum wealth tax on the mega-wealthy) and opposes corporate tax giveaways such as generous data-center tax breaks. Advocates shifting priorities toward domestic economic investment and policies that increase taxes on the ultra-wealthy to fund public needs.

Healthcare

William Lawrence identifies healthcare as a campaign priority and says he would invest in “good health care,” emphasizing affordable and quality care as part of domestic policy priorities. Public materials and press coverage describe him as a progressive activist focused on expanding access but do not provide a clear policy prescription (for example, support for Medicare for All, a public option, or specific market-based reforms).

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Immigration & Border

Supports ending ICE operations in cities, opposes local law enforcement cooperating with ICE, and endorses a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants. Expresses concern about detention processing centers and racial profiling by immigration enforcement.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive federal investment to address climate change, defend water/land/air, and drive down household energy costs; has a long record as a co‑founder and national organizer of the Sunrise Movement, which elevated the Green New Deal in U.S. politics.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 7, 2026

William Lawrence won the Democratic primary in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District and will face Republican Rep. Tom Barrett in the general election. The race is being watched as a tossup and one of Democrats’ better chances to flip a House seat. Recent coverage has also highlighted his progressive profile and attacks from Republicans over his past Democratic Socialists of America membership, which he said had lapsed.

fec.gov+50

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Global Strategy Group
50%40%30%20%10%0%
38%
William Lawrence
W. Lawrence
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Global Strategy GroupJul 26, 2026
38.0%
Data for ProgressJun 30, 2026
48.0%
Data for ProgressApr 28, 2026
20.0%
Strategic NationalMar 18, 2026
5.9%
Impact ResearchMar 9, 2026
17.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

14
MI-07 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.1M
$839.4K
$559.6K
$279.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.1M
$383.1K
$736.1K
$38.7K

Source: FEC