CA-40 primary: first place
21dHigh ImpactYoung Kim is now leading CA-40 primary: first place with 86% odds, ahead by 59.0 points.

Young Kim
Young Kim is now leading CA-40 primary: first place with 86% odds, ahead by 59.0 points.


Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyModerate Republican
LocationCalifornia
Supports tax relief for families and small businesses, opposes tax increases and expanded IRS funding, and has voted for measures to rescind or block tax-and-spending bills she describes as raising taxes. Advocates lowering taxes and reducing regulatory/IRS burden to make life more affordable for constituents.
Opposes a one-size-fits-all single-payer system and emphasizes patient choice, state flexibility in Medicaid, and market-oriented reforms to reduce costs. Supports protections for people with pre-existing conditions while advocating reforms to lower prescription drug and treatment costs. Has sponsored bipartisan bills addressing access barriers (language access, telehealth) and framed healthcare solutions around innovation and choice.
Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures while backing legal status for Dreamers/DACA recipients (stops short of endorsing broad new pathways to citizenship). Has voted for enforcement-focused legislation (H.R.2) and repeatedly called for securing the southern border and reforming asylum processes.
Supports pro-life policies and federal limits on abortion funding, opposes codifying Roe v. Wade, and has voted against federal bills that would protect or expand abortion and contraception access. Endorses measures such as the Hyde Amendment and legislation restricting abortion-related practices.
Supports expanding domestic energy production including clean energy projects framed as energy independence while opposing some state and federal regulations that raise fuel costs; has sponsored bipartisan geothermal development legislation and voted for measures viewed by environmental groups as rolling back regulations. Positions combine support for market-driven energy approaches and regulatory relief rather than aggressive federal emissions mandates.
Supports policies that promote firearm safety (for example, incentives for safe storage) while opposing major new federal firearm restrictions such as an assault-weapons ban and some expanded background-check measures. Has received favorable ratings from pro-gun organizations and votes consistent with protecting gun owners’ rights alongside targeted safety measures.
Young Kim is now leading CA-40 primary: first place with 86% odds, ahead by 59.0 points.
Primary-day reporting and live results show Ken Calvert overtaking Young Kim in the CA-40 first-place market, a major reversal traders should reprice quickly.
Young Kim’s odds rebounded from 74% to 97% as primary-day coverage kept CA-40 in focus, a sharp late repricing traders may want to watch for follow-through.
Young Kim is in the news because she advanced in California’s redrawn 40th Congressional District race, setting up a Republican-versus-Republican general election against Ken Calvert. Early and later vote counts showed Kim in second place behind Calvert as the top-two primary results came in. The race has been increasingly bitter, with both candidates attacking each other over loyalty to Donald Trump and House leadership. The district’s redistricting and top-two system are driving the unusual matchup.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
2022
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2022
Cycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.