Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Young Kim

Young Kim

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Young Kim is trading at 1% to win the CA-40 primary: first place on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

Age63 years old (Oct 18, 1962)

GenderFemale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationB.B.A., University of Southern California (1985)

Notable personal detailsYoung Kim is a Republican U.S. Representative for California’s 40th Congressional District, first elected in 2020 and serving since January 3, 2021. Born in Incheon, South Korea, she later earned a B.B.A. from the University of Southern California. Her career has included work as a financial analyst and business owner, and she served on the staff of U.S. Representative Ed Royce (1993–2013) and in the California State Assembly (2014–2016).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief for families and small businesses, opposes tax increases and expanded IRS funding, and has voted for measures to rescind or block tax-and-spending bills she describes as raising taxes. Advocates lowering taxes and reducing regulatory/IRS burden to make life more affordable for constituents.

Healthcare

Opposes a one-size-fits-all single-payer system and emphasizes patient choice, state flexibility in Medicaid, and market-oriented reforms to reduce costs. Supports protections for people with pre-existing conditions while advocating reforms to lower prescription drug and treatment costs. Has sponsored bipartisan bills addressing access barriers (language access, telehealth) and framed healthcare solutions around innovation and choice.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures while backing legal status for Dreamers/DACA recipients (stops short of endorsing broad new pathways to citizenship). Has voted for enforcement-focused legislation (H.R.2) and repeatedly called for securing the southern border and reforming asylum processes.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports pro-life policies and federal limits on abortion funding, opposes codifying Roe v. Wade, and has voted against federal bills that would protect or expand abortion and contraception access. Endorses measures such as the Hyde Amendment and legislation restricting abortion-related practices.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding domestic energy production including clean energy projects framed as energy independence while opposing some state and federal regulations that raise fuel costs; has sponsored bipartisan geothermal development legislation and voted for measures viewed by environmental groups as rolling back regulations. Positions combine support for market-driven energy approaches and regulatory relief rather than aggressive federal emissions mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports policies that promote firearm safety (for example, incentives for safe storage) while opposing major new federal firearm restrictions such as an assault-weapons ban and some expanded background-check measures. Has received favorable ratings from pro-gun organizations and votes consistent with protecting gun owners’ rights alongside targeted safety measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Young Kim is in the news because she is running in California’s redrawn congressional district primary, where early and later vote counts showed her near the top of the field and likely to advance to the general election. The race has turned into a bitter Republican-on-Republican fight with Ken Calvert, with both candidates attacking each other over loyalty to Donald Trump and House leadership. The contest is being shaped by redistricting and California’s top-two primary system, which could send two Republicans to November.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tulchin Research
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44%
43%
Young Kim
Y. Kim
Esther Kim Varet
E. Varet
Date (Start - End)SpreadKimVaret
Tulchin ResearchJan 14 - 19
Kim+1.0
44.0%43.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$9.3M
$7.0M
$4.7M
$2.3M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$9.3M
$399.5K
$9.3M
$389.6K

Cycle 2024

$9.2M
$1.7M
$7.9M
$329.4K

Cycle 2026

$8.8M
$1.7M
$8.9M
$494.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements