Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

KY-06 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Zach Dembo

    Will Democratic win the House race for KY-06?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:49 AM UTC

Democrat
Zach Dembo

Zach Dembo

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Kentucky

Saved odds — KY-06 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

60%chance to win

$287.5KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

LocationKentucky

BackgroundAttorney

EducationStanford University

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Notable personal detailsZach Dembo is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He previously worked as a federal prosecutor, including in the U.S. Department of Justice Civil Rights Division, and later served as an Assistant U.S. Attorney in the Eastern District of Kentucky. Dembo also served in the U.S. Navy as a Judge Advocate (JAG) officer and worked in Kentucky state government in Gov. Andy Beshear’s administration.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies to lower costs for working families (ending tariffs, protecting family farms through tax-code reforms), raise wages and strengthen labor rights (support for a $15 minimum wage and the PRO Act), and expand programs to increase housing affordability and protect Medicaid. No explicit campaign statements were found advocating large tax cuts or a major wealth/corporate tax increase.

Healthcare

Supports reversing Medicaid cuts and fully funding Medicaid, restoring and expanding ACA tax credits, implementing drug pricing reforms and price transparency, capping out-of-pocket costs, and pursuing a public option to expand coverage and lower costs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strengthening border security while prioritizing humane treatment and accountability for immigration enforcement; advocates holding ICE to law-enforcement standards (training, body cameras, no masked identities) and supports a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants already contributing to communities.

Public Safety & Guns

No clear policy platform on federal gun restrictions is available on the candidate's campaign site. In a March 2026 debate Zach Dembo emphasized focusing federal prosecutorial resources on pursuing criminals with guns and on community public-safety responses rather than articulating specific new gun-control measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Zach Dembo is being mentioned in coverage of Kentucky’s 2026 primary elections, which are shaping up to be highly competitive for Republicans. The biggest focus is the open U.S. Senate race, along with several contested House and state legislative primaries. The reporting suggests these GOP primaries will likely decide who wins in November.

fec.gov+42

Latest Polls

KY-06 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Zach Dembo currently averages 44.4%, ranking first in this race, 3.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 44.4%Position: firstMargin: +3.3 ptsLatest poll: 47.0% (Oct 19 - 20)Polls included: 10

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 19 - 20.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.4%
41.1%
Zach Dembo
Z. Dembo
Ralph Alvarado
R. Alvarado
Date (Start - End)SpreadDemboAlvarado
Polling Average
Dembo+3.3
44.4%41.1%
Public Policy PollingOct 19 - 20
Dembo+6.0
47.0%41.0%
Change ResearchSep 29 - Oct 5
Dembo+9.0
47.0%38.0%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentOct 2 - 5
Dembo+6.0
46.0%40.0%
Lake Research PartnersSep 30 - Oct 4
Dembo+6.0
46.0%40.0%
Lake Research PartnersSep 30 - Oct 4
Dembo+3.0
48.0%45.0%
GQRSep 25 - 30
Dembo+5.0
42.0%37.0%
Lake Research PartnersAug 17 - 23
Dembo+1.0
45.0%44.0%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentJul 29 - 30
Dembo+0.0
47.0%47.0%
GQRJun 24 - 28
Alvarado+3.0
39.0%42.0%
Public Policy PollingApr 24 - 25
Dembo+0.0
37.0%37.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5M
$1.1M
$731.9K
$366.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.5M
$491.3K
$972.6K
$54.0K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

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  • Endorsements