IA-03 House winner?
8dDonald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%.

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Iowa
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Zach Nunn is trading at 32% to win the IA-03 House winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyModerate Republican
Age47 years old (May 4, 1979)
GenderMale
LocationIowa
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationDrake University (B.A.)
Notable personal detailsZachary Martin Nunn is a Republican member of the U.S. House representing Iowa's 3rd Congressional District (in office since 2023). He previously served in the Iowa House of Representatives (2015–2019) and Iowa Senate (2019–2023). He is a U.S. Air Force Reserve officer (Colonel) and has served in the U.S. Air Force and Iowa Air National Guard, including multiple deployments after 9/11. Nunn earned a B.A. from Drake University and master’s degrees from the Air Command and Staff College and the University of Cambridge.
Supports major tax cuts and a pro-growth tax code, including permanently extending the 2017/Trump tax cuts and protections for small-business deductions; champions a balanced budget amendment to restrict federal spending. Promotes tax credits and provisions framed as tax relief for families, farmers, and small businesses while advocating reduced federal spending and greater fiscal restraint.
Supports protecting and strengthening public programs like Medicaid and Medicare, expanding access to rural care and the healthcare workforce, and investing federal resources to lower costs and keep care local. Focuses on bipartisan, government-supported measures (rural health funding, workforce training, and resolutions to block cuts to Medicaid/SNAP) rather than proposals to privatize or repeal major programs.
Supports stronger border enforcement and expanded border security measures including more Border Patrol agents, detention capacity, and finishing the border wall; advocates removing dangerous illegal immigrants and extending Title 42 as tools to reduce illegal crossings and drug trafficking.
Opposes abortion and has supported state-level restrictions (including fetal heartbeat/6-week and other limits) while stating he supports some exceptions (for the health of the mother, and in some statements rape and incest). He has said he does not support a federal restoration of Roe and has described the issue as one for states, though he has faced criticism for on-camera remarks about a national ban.
Supports an all-of-the-above energy approach emphasizing American energy independence, expansion of domestic fossil fuel production and leasing, and strong support for biofuels (including year‑round E15 and biofuels incentives and infrastructure). Advocates market-driven energy development and regulatory changes to increase domestic production while backing tax incentives and R&D for low‑carbon biofuels.
Zach Nunn consistently supports strong Second Amendment protections, has sponsored legislation to block enforcement of federal gun regulations in Iowa, and has been endorsed/rated highly by pro-gun organizations. He has advocated for protecting gun rights in state and campaign statements and opposed local “gun-free zone” restrictions that limit carrying. His public record emphasizes defending gun ownership rights over enactment of new firearm regulations.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Donald Trump backed Zach Nunn in the IA-03 House winner race, and Nunn is currently at 37%.
Zach Nunn is in the news because his Iowa 3rd Congressional District race is being described as highly competitive and a major battleground in the 2026 midterms. Recent coverage says Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott has launched her first general election TV ad against him, while polling and race analysis still show the seat as a toss-up. The Libertarian candidate’s exit after a medical emergency may also reshape the contest, but Nunn remains the Republican incumbent on the ballot.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsers of Zach Nunn for IA-03 House winner?
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2022
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2022
Cycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC