$5.2K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$5.2K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Ohio’s primary has now locked in the main candidates across the state, including the governor’s race and several congressional contests. The newest Ohio-specific development is NRCC support for Derek Merrin in the 9th District. None of the items report a direct Ohio House result or a clear shift in chamber control. The news is mostly about candidate selection, not chamber control, so it likely has limited direct impact on the Ohio House market. The broader Ohio GOP organization and NRCC support may modestly help Republicans, but the effect is unclear.
Not all Republicans are falling in line with Trump on the Iran war.
The National Republican Congressional Committee raised $17.6 million in June, surpassing the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee by approximately $1.2 million during the month.
Decision day in Senate Republican runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, ending one of the state's nastiest campaigns.
Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Sherrod Brown easily clinched their respective parties’ nominations for governor and U.S. Senate during Ohio’s primary election on Tuesday.
Ohio's primary election set up two marquee matchups in November.
President Donald Trump is having some success in his latest attempt to politically punish Republicans who stand in his way.
Democrat Vanessa Enoch will challenge incumbent Republican Rep. Warren Davidson for the fifth time in Ohio's 8th Congressional District.
The brightest warning light for Democrats in this year’s election is the consistent finding in early national and state polls that they are not winning nearly as large a share of voters who disapprove of President Donald Trump’s performance as they did during his first term. Paradoxically, that dynamic could represent a major danger for Republicans if it proves unsustainable through November.
It is not yet clear whether TV networks will give the White House air time for Trump’s speech, a practice typically reserved for major addresses on issues of national import.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.