$2.1M
NOV 7, 2026
Candidate standings
Live market pricing for the leading candidates in this election.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53% | 48.0% | — | |
| 49% | 46.0% | $14.36M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Sherrod Brown has secured the Democratic nomination for Ohio’s Senate race and will face Republican Jon Husted in the general election. Brown is also adjusting his crypto message as outside spending looms. The race has now moved fully into the general-election phase. The nomination is settled, so the market should now focus on the general election matchup. Brown’s crypto shift and expected outside spending could affect sentiment, but the direction is still unclear.
Almost no politician writes his own books, and few people actually read them. J.D. Vance is different. Trump’s vice president was a writer before he was a
A new poll showed a close race in the Republican-leaning state ahead of the midterms.
Ohio's primary election set up two marquee matchups in November.
President Donald Trump is having some success in his latest attempt to politically punish Republicans who stand in his way.
The congressman faces credible accusations of domestic violence. But whether Miller will take the party down with him remains to be seen.
Democrats eye Senate gains in key battlegrounds, but holding Michigan could be crucial to winning a majority.
Welcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump plans to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general and the Senate begins voting on amendments to ICE and Border Patrol funding.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune endorsed Ken Paxton for U.S. Senate, saying Republicans must go "all in" to keep Texas red against Democrat James Talarico in November.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 10, 2026 and Aug 13, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. HustedJon HustedSource: FEC
