


Track Tennessee election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.
Tennessee's 2026 ballot is led by an open race for governor: incumbent Bill Lee is term-limited, and the contest to succeed him has drawn sitting US Senator Marsha Blackburn into the Republican primary. Voters will also decide a US Senate race, where Bill Hagerty seeks a second term, and all nine US House seats under a congressional map redrawn in May 2026. Nominees are chosen in the August 6 open primary, with the general election on November 3. This hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates across Tennessee's 2026 races.
Governor Bill Lee is term-limited, leaving the seat open in 2026. US Senator Marsha Blackburn, US Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts are among the Republicans running; markets track both parties' August 6 nominations and the November winner.
Republican Bill Hagerty is seeking a second term in 2026 rather than entering the governor's race. Markets track the November winner of this regularly scheduled Senate contest; nominees are set in the August 6 primary.
All nine US House seats are on Tennessee's 2026 ballot under a map redrawn in May 2026. Tracked markets cover August 6 nominee contests in the 4th and 5th districts, where incumbents Scott DesJarlais and Andy Ogles seek re-election.
Explore candidate pages for Tennessee's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.














| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Blackburn | Rose | Fritts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Blackburn+44.9 | 57.0% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
McLaughlin & AssociatesJun 28 - 30 | Blackburn+15.0 | 44.0% | 29.0% | 12.0% |
Targoz Market ResearchApr 20 - 27 | Blackburn+53.0 | 63.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
VictoryPhonesMar 18 - 24 | Blackburn+42.3 | 56.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% |
CygnalMar 16 - 17 | Blackburn+51.4 | 58.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
VictoryPhonesFeb 5 - 8 | Blackburn+52.5 | 60.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
Targoz Market ResearchJan 11 - 18 | Blackburn+48.0 | 57.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
Targoz Market ResearchOct 23 - 26 | Blackburn+49.0 | 58.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
Quantus InsightsAug 5 - 7 | Blackburn+42.0 | 51.5% | 9.5% | – |
Targoz Market ResearchJul 27 - Aug 1 | Blackburn+52.0 | 66.0% | 14.0% | – |
Spry StrategiesMar 6 - 10 | Blackburn+42.0 | 59.0% | 17.0% | – |
Spry StrategiesMar 6 - 10 | Blackburn+33.1 | 40.3% | 7.2% | – |
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJan 13 - 16 | Blackburn+58.0 | 71.0% | 13.0% | – |