

Track Tennessee election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.
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Tennessee's 2026 ballot is led by an open race for governor: incumbent Bill Lee is term-limited, and the contest to succeed him has drawn sitting US Senator Marsha Blackburn into the Republican primary. Voters will also decide a US Senate race, where Bill Hagerty seeks a second term, and all nine US House seats under a congressional map redrawn in May 2026. Nominees are chosen in the August 6 open primary, with the general election on November 3. This hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates across Tennessee's 2026 races.
Governor Bill Lee is term-limited, leaving the seat open in 2026. US Senator Marsha Blackburn, US Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts are among the Republicans running; markets track both parties' August 6 nominations and the November winner.
Republican Bill Hagerty is seeking a second term in 2026 rather than entering the governor's race. Markets track the November winner of this regularly scheduled Senate contest; nominees are set in the August 6 primary.
All nine US House seats are on Tennessee's 2026 ballot under a map redrawn in May 2026. Tracked markets cover August 6 nominee contests in the 4th and 5th districts, where incumbents Scott DesJarlais and Andy Ogles seek re-election.
Explore candidate pages for Tennessee's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.














| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Blackburn | Green |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Blackburn+22.5 | 50.0% | 27.5% |
Targoz Market ResearchApr 20 - 27 | Blackburn+24.0 | 51.0% | 27.0% |
Quantus InsightsAug 5 - 7 | Blackburn+21.0 | 49.0% | 28.0% |
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