Ollivant’s win probability has risen sharply to 86%, and fresh reporting still shows Tara Durant has suspended her campaign, leaving the Republican primary more consolidated around the remaining field.
ActivePrimary ElectionRepublican
Who will win the 2026 Virginia District 7 US House Republican Primary?
Aug 5, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 64 daysLast updated:
VA-07 Republican nominee?
$56.0K
AUG 5, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Claim Offer$50TradeBonus
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
OddsCurrent Odds
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
