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2026 Hawaii Democratic House Primary Results

Name: 2026 Hawaii Democratic House Primary Results — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 8, 2026Market closes: Aug 9, 11:59pm ET (Aug 10, 3:59am UTC)

HI-01 Democratic nominee?

$211.1K

AUG 8, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 9, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Ed Case	100%	39.8%	$1.09M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 9, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$211.1K

24h volume

$136.6K

E. Case100%

D. Belatti0%

J. Keohokalole0%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Hawaii 2026 general election

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Ed Case has won the Hawaii Democratic primary for U.S. House, beating Jarrett Keohokalole. He will move on to face Republican Adriel Lam in the general election. Earlier previews had flagged the Democratic primary as a contested race. Case’s primary win removes the main nomination uncertainty and should strongly favor his contract. The market now shifts to the general election matchup, with less ambiguity on the Democratic side.

Articles

FNFox News1 month ago

Rep Ed Case wins Hawaii Democratic primary, fends off Keohokalole

Rep. Ed Case defeated progressive state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, despite criticism over his SAVE America Act vote.

TAThe Associated Press1 month ago

What to expect in Hawaii’s state primary

An ongoing corruption scandal involving Hawaii’s lieutenant governor looms over Saturday’s state primary as nine candidates jockey to replace her.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit1 month ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Hawaii’s state primary

An ongoing corruption scandal involving Hawaii’s lieutenant governor looms over Saturday’s state primary as nine candidates jockey to replace her.

HCHartford Courant3 months ago

John Larson steps up attacks on Luke Bronin in congressional race

A few months after candidates started jumping into the race to challenge him, Larson trained his focus on Bronin and made labor a centerpiece of his campaign.

FNFox News1 month ago

Hawaii primary puts Gov. Josh Green against three little-known rivals

Hawaii primary voters decide Saturday on the governor's race and the 1st Congressional District, where Jarrett Keohokalole challenges Rep. Ed Case on a progressive platform.

NNNBC News1 month ago

Michigan, Virginia, Kansas elections underway; Blanche Senate vote expected

Follow live updates on the elections as voters hit the polls in five states. Get the latest on Todd Blanche’s Senate vote for attorney general.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Oct 6, 2025 and Jul 24, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

39.8%

27.3%

21%

E. Case

J. Keohokalole

D. Belatti

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Case	Keohokalole	Belatti
Polling Average	Case+12.5	39.8%	27.3%	21.0%
Blueprint PollingJul 24 - 24	Keohokalole+9.0	38.0%	47.0%	–
Blueprint PollingJul 7 - 8	Case+8.0	33.0%	25.0%	–
Data for ProgressOct 6 - 14	Case+24.0	40.0%	12.0%	16.0%
Data for ProgressOct 6 - 14	Case+19.0	44.0%	25.0%	–
Data for ProgressOct 6 - 14	Case+18.0	44.0%	–	26.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Aug 28, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

E. Case

J. Keohokalole

D. Belatti

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

E. CaseEd Case

$1.09MContrib: $1.09M

$599.6KSpent: $810.8K

$42.7KLast period: $55.0K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 19, 2026

J. KeohokaloleJarrett Keohokalole

$963.5KContrib: $963.1K

$81.4KSpent: $882.1K

$46.4KLast period: $125.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 19, 2026

D. BelattiDella Au Belatti

$173.6KContrib: $122.5K

$0Spent: $173.6K

$8.7KLast period: -$30.1K

TERMINATION REPORT · Aug 28, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

2026 Hawaii Democratic House Primary Results

HI-01 Democratic nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Rep Ed Case wins Hawaii Democratic primary, fends off Keohokalole

What to expect in Hawaii’s state primary

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Hawaii’s state primary

John Larson steps up attacks on Luke Bronin in congressional race

Hawaii primary puts Gov. Josh Green against three little-known rivals

Michigan, Virginia, Kansas elections underway; Blanche Senate vote expected

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

HI-02 House winner?

Hawaii Governor winner?

Hawaii Senate winner? (2028)

HI-01 House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

Rep Ed Case wins Hawaii Democratic primary, fends off Keohokalole

What to expect in Hawaii’s state primary

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Hawaii’s state primary

John Larson steps up attacks on Luke Bronin in congressional race

Hawaii primary puts Gov. Josh Green against three little-known rivals

Michigan, Virginia, Kansas elections underway; Blanche Senate vote expected

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

HI-02 House winner?

Hawaii Governor winner?

Hawaii Senate winner? (2028)

HI-01 House winner?