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JUN 10, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Joe Wilson remains down to 49% in the SC-02 GOP nomination market after a 48-point drop over 24 hours, and fresh reporting says South Carolina lawmakers are actively weighing mid-decade redistricting and even splitting or delaying primaries. That keeps the move trader-relevant because the nominee market is now tied to a concrete calendar/map risk, not just generic campaign noise.
Joe Wilson’s Republican-nomination price in SC-02 is still down sharply, and fresh reporting says South Carolina lawmakers are actively considering redistricting and even delaying congressional primaries. That keeps the market’s move tied to a concrete calendar/map risk traders can price, not just generic campaign noise.
Wilson’s Republican-nomination price dropped from 49% to 49% in 24 hours, while new reporting says South Carolina lawmakers are actively considering congressional redistricting and delaying the June 9 primaries. That makes the market move trader-relevant because the nomination calendar and district lines themselves may be changing, not just candidate sentiment.
South Carolina leaders are preparing for a possible special session on congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. No final map has been adopted yet, but the process could affect district lines and election timing. Primaries are still scheduled for June 9. This mainly adds uncertainty to the nomination market because district lines and timing could still change. Until a map is adopted, the effect on the Republican nominee race is unclear.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
WASHINGTON — Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey called for the state’s legislature to meet in special session next week to revisit their congressional map, the latest fallout from a Supreme Court ruling this week limiting the Voting Rights Act. Ivey, a Republican, on Friday said she was hopeful the state would “receive a favorable outcome” from the Supreme Court, which could weigh in on legal challenges to ...
Mills' decision is a rebuke of Democratic Party leadership, who had thrown their support behind Mills over progressive Graham Platner.
This ruling has prompted Louisiana's governor to suspend U.S. House primaries, Tennessee's governor to convene a special session, and Mississippi's governor to call lawmakers back to Jackson.
Democrat and businessman Billy Webster remains a long shot for SC governor. Lindsey Graham remains untouchable for Senate. Treasuser Curtis Loftis has more baggage than a luggage salesman.
Two weeks after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down Louisiana’s congressional map, state senators on Thursday are considering a plan that would eliminate a majority-Black district while giving Republicans a chance to win an additional seat in the November midterm elections.
The new U.S. House districts, which still need House approval, would be used for primary elections poised to be postponed from Saturday until November. This as South Carolina's governor pushed for congressional redistricting and could call lawmakers into a special session.
Two weeks after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down Louisiana's congressional map, state senators passed a plan Thursday that would eliminate a majority-Black district while giving Republicans a chance to win an additional seat in the midterm elections.
Republican lawmakers raced to draw the new map after the Supreme Court ruled Louisiana's majority-Black district unconstitutional.
J. WilsonJoe Wilson
H. RedmondHamp Redmond
S. GibbonsSam GibbonsSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
