Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 South Carolina Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsPoll averageFunds raised
71%—$346.8K
30%43.3%$10.80M

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$10.7M

24h volume

$1.4M

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

South Carolina · US Senate

Strong RepublicanNot a core swing stateRunoff possible

State Lean

Strong Republican

Not a core swing state

Primary System

Party primary with runoff

Runoff possible: Jun 23, 2026

Election Rules

Primary Jun 9, 2026

Runoff: Jun 23, 2026

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

Early voting generally runs from 15 days before Election Day through the Saturday before Election Day.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

South Carolina 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest recent development is that Darline Graham and Annie Andrews have agreed to debate on October 11 in Columbia. Andrews has been using child care affordability as a campaign theme and is pushing for more televised debates. The updates are mostly about campaign positioning rather than a clear change in the race. The debate agreement gives both candidates a clearer general-election stage, but the news is mostly procedural. It does not clearly shift the race, though Andrews’ debate push may help her visibility.

Articles
CPCharleston Post and Courier14 hours ago

It’s Election Day in Spartanburg. What voters need to know.

The polls open today in Spartanburg County for the midterm elections, with highly anticipated seats being voted on. Here’s everything you need to know for Nov. 3.

L5Live 5 News WCSC14 hours ago

South Carolina Election Day: 4 key races on the ballot

Polls open across South Carolina from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. as voters head to the ballot box to decide critical statewide and congressional contests, including races for governor, attorney general, the U.S. Senate and South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District.

SSlate2 days ago

This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.

The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.

L5Live 5 News WCSC21 hours ago

‘Get out and vote’: Senate candidates make final push to voters

U.S. Senate Candidate Annie Andrews holds final campaign rally on Election Eve

BNBaltimore News1 day ago

Latest batch of polls projects Senate flip in 'blue tsunami'

The surveys, conducted late last month by The New York Times and Siena University, place Democratic candidates ahead of Republicans in seven critical states.

UTUSA TODAY1 day ago

What early voting data tell us about the 2026 midterm elections

Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.

UNU.S. News & World Report2 days ago

The Latest: Democrat Who Lost Michigan Senate Primary Backs Republican in General Election Contest

Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.

TDThe Daily Beast2 days ago

Trump’s ‘Hostage’ Senate Pick Sparks GOP Panic Days Before Election

Is a ruby-red state up for grabs?

FNFox News1 day ago

DR ANNIE ANDREWS: South Carolina should expect more from their senator

Dr. Annie Andrews, the Democratic South Carolina Senate race candidate, pledges to ban congressional stock trading, make no tax on tips permanent and end Congress pay during shutdowns.

Latest Polls

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43.3%
Annie Andrews
A. Andrews
Date (Start - End)SpreadAndrews
Polling Average
–43.3%
Trafalgar GroupOct 31 - Nov 1
–45.5%
Resonance Media ServicesOct 30 - 30
–46.2%
Patinkin Research StrategiesOct 27 - 29
–48.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 19 - 26
–48.0%
Targoz Market ResearchOct 16 - 25
–46.0%
The Citadel School of Humanities and Social SciencesOct 14 - 25
–39.0%
The Citadel School of Humanities and Social SciencesOct 14 - 25
–40.0%
East Carolina University Center for Survey ResearchOct 19 - 24
–47.3%
Impact ResearchOct 15 - 21
–45.0%
Trafalgar GroupOct 16 - 18
–45.6%
InsiderAdvantageSep 28 - 29
–45.0%
Trafalgar GroupSep 23 - 25
–42.3%
InsiderAdvantageSep 8 - 9
–43.2%
Abacus DataAug 26 - 28
–48.0%
Abacus DataAug 26 - 28
–42.0%
Impact ResearchAug 18 - 24
–41.0%
Impact ResearchAug 14 - 22
–42.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 16 - 17
–42.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 16 - 17
–42.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 16 - 17
–41.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 16 - 17
–42.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 16 - 17
–41.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 16 - 17
–42.0%
Impact ResearchJun 17 - 22
–45.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 25 - Mar 1
–42.0%
Public Policy PollingNov 21 - 22
–36.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Aug 5, 2026
$20M
$15M
$10M
$5M
$0
A. Andrews
D. Graham
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Annie AndrewsA. Andrews
$10.80MContrib: $10.78M
$4.12MSpent: $6.68M
$371.4KLast period: $2.74M
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Darline GrahamD. Graham
$346.8KContrib: $346.8K
$251.4KSpent: $95.4K
$4.8KLast period: $346.8K
PRE-RUN-OFF · Aug 5, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

South Carolina Senate winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Annie Andrews

    Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:11 AM UTC

  • Darline Graham

    Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:11 AM UTC