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JUL 1, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Recent reporting says Eileen Laubacher remains active in the primary after a March court fight over her assembly access, and she has also out-raised the field by a wide margin. In a safely Republican district where the Democratic nominee is a long-shot general-election play, that combination matters because it sharpens who is most likely to emerge as the party’s standard-bearer.
The latest stories focus on Trump-backed Republican primary fights in Kentucky, especially the challenge to Rep. Thomas Massie. Lauren Boebert appeared at a Massie event, and Trump has publicly pushed against him. None of the updates directly concern the Colorado 4th District Democratic nomination. These reports are about Republican primaries in Kentucky, not this Colorado Democratic nomination market. They likely have no direct impact on this race.
"I support both of these men...if that makes you angry, bless your heart," wrote the Colorado lawmaker, despite Trump's potential wrath.
The incumbent faces a Trump-backed challenger Tuesday.
The president has endorsed retired Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein in what marks his most aggressive attempt to catapult a dissenter from the Republican Party.
President Trump calls for Rep. Thomas Massie's ouster in Kentucky's Tuesday Republican primary, using Sen. Bill Cassidy's Louisiana defeat as a warning to GOP critics.
E. LaubacherEileen Laubacher
J. PrestonJenna PrestonSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.