Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$4.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Claim $20 trading on Kalshi.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$4.7K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
The main election-relevant development is that mid-decade redistricting fights are intensifying, and Maryland is among the states cited as potentially seeing map decisions that affect House seats. Separately, Virginia voters approved a new congressional map that could add Democratic-leaning seats, though court review is still pending. There’s no district-specific news for Maryland’s 6th here, but the mention of Maryland in ongoing redistricting fights could add uncertainty around the eventual 2026 map. Broader map changes elsewhere may shift overall House control expectations, but the direct impact on this seat is unclear.
Gov. Abigail Spanberger's (D-VA) redistricting push could wipe out multiple House Republicans if it passes on Tuesday.
By Edward-Isaac Dovere, CNN New Orleans (CNN) — Quietly, someone no one had been thinking about as a 2028 contender showed up to a meeting of Democratic activists here and started to incept a presidential campaign – including for himself. It helped that the meeting was in the city that gave Mitch Landrieu the accent
Rep. Kevin Kiley of California said he will be the House of Representatives' lone Independent after leaving the GOP to run in a Democrat-leaning district.
After Virginia voters weighed in on Tuesday, the redistricting set off by President Trump to help the GOP in the midterms has been countered and possibly surpassed by Democrats.
Tuesday’s vote makes the tit-for-tat redistricting war that’s played out over the past several months something close to a draw. But Republicans could still come out with a slight advantage if Florida passes a new map in the coming weeks.
An 82-year-old Virginia senator raising the stakes, an Indiana consensus builder and a Texas enforcer are among state officials who have shaped the course of the midterm redistricting race.
The last time former Rep. and South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford went up against President Donald Trump, it didn't end well for him.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
