$485.00
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$485
24h volume
$30
source: Kalshi
The main update is that incumbent Democrat James McGovern will run for re-election in MA-02. That keeps the seat anchored by the sitting member heading into 2026. No other MA-02-specific developments were reported. McGovern’s re-election bid reinforces Democratic incumbency in the race. The news likely leaves the market tilted toward Democrats, with little new uncertainty.
We asked our three writers: Is Platner just what the Democratic Party needs right now to take back the Senate? Or is he a disaster-in-waiting for the party?
In his campaign video, McGovern touted his record and criticizing Republican actions on healthcare and federal law enforcement.
Maine Gov. Janet Mills is dropping her Democratic bid for the US Senate ahead of the ahead of June 9 primary against Graham Platner.
Tennessee lawmakers have passed a new U.S. House map that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis. The new voting districts approved Thursday could give Republicans a chance to win all nine of the state’s congressional seats in the November midterm elections.
The Texas Supreme Court has refused to declare that Democratic state lawmakers who briefly left the state last year in a quorum break to stop a vote on new congressional voting maps pushed by President Donald Trump vacated their offices.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
