$109.02
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$109
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Republicans are using Tennessee’s 7th special election as a turnout test ahead of the 2026 midterms, after Matt Van Epps defeated Aftyn Behn with nearly 54%. The piece says GOP officials see redistricting and fundraising advantages, but worry about turnout without Trump on the ballot. The Tennessee result may slightly boost Republican confidence, but the article also highlights turnout and approval-rating risks. Overall, it suggests a modest GOP-positive signal with uncertainty still high.
President Donald Trump isn’t on the ballot this year, but with roughly six months before Election Day, he’ll still likely be the biggest factor in determining the fortunes of the Republican Party
The intramural contest has revealed fissures within the party on what it’ll take to beat Democratic Gov. Maura Healey.
Tennessee lawmakers have passed a new U.S. House map that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis. The new voting districts approved Thursday could give Republicans a chance to win all nine of the state’s congressional seats in the November midterm elections.
The Texas Supreme Court has refused to declare that Democratic state lawmakers who briefly left the state last year in a quorum break to stop a vote on new congressional voting maps pushed by President Donald Trump vacated their offices.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
The New York ‘Times’ published a detailed and unflattering account of Jack Schlossberg’s congressional bid. He’s pushing back against the claims. Here are four that stood out.
Republican lawmakers in Tennessee approved a new U.S. House map Thursday that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis, reshaping it to the GOP’s advantage as part of President Donald Trump’s strategy to hold on to a slim majority in the November midterm elections.
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