$250.00
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$250
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
The biggest development is Tennessee Republicans approving a new House map that would split up Memphis-based District 9. The map still needs the governor’s signature and could face court challenges. Texas redistricting litigation also remains part of the wider 2026 House map fight. These redistricting moves could change the shape of several House races, but the effect on MA-09 is indirect and unclear. Overall, they add uncertainty to the 2026 House map rather than clearly favoring either party here.
We asked our three writers: Is Platner just what the Democratic Party needs right now to take back the Senate? Or is he a disaster-in-waiting for the party?
Maine Gov. Janet Mills is dropping her Democratic bid for the US Senate ahead of the ahead of June 9 primary against Graham Platner.
Tennessee lawmakers have passed a new U.S. House map that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis. The new voting districts approved Thursday could give Republicans a chance to win all nine of the state’s congressional seats in the November midterm elections.
The Texas Supreme Court has refused to declare that Democratic state lawmakers who briefly left the state last year in a quorum break to stop a vote on new congressional voting maps pushed by President Donald Trump vacated their offices.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
Democratic Maine U.S. Senate candidate Graham Platner says he hopes to work with Mills to turn Republican Sen. Susan Collins’ seat “blue again” now that Mills has dropped out of their primary.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
