DP3d
Democratic Party
6%24H69%This is the highest level for Democratic Party in "NJ-07 House winner?" over the last 60 days, topping the prior high of 63.5%.
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$17.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Total volume
$17.1K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
This is the highest level for Democratic Party in "NJ-07 House winner?" over the last 60 days, topping the prior high of 63.5%.
The main development in NJ-7 is Rep. Tom Kean Jr.’s health-related absence from Washington; he says doctors expect a full recovery and that he will return to Congress very soon. Separately, Democratic candidate Brian Varela is facing scrutiny over alleged opposition-research activity and a lawsuit tied to unpaid business bills. Kean’s expected return and full recovery could reduce uncertainty around the GOP incumbent’s status. The Varela controversy could add some risk for Democrats, but overall impact on odds is unclear from these reports alone.
Kean Jr.'s absence while addressing a personal health issue reignites a debate about how much constituents are entitled to know about an elected official's health.
Analilia Mejia, a former top Bernie Sanders staffer, convincingly won a House seat despite "radical" label.
Democrats are pulling out all the stops to ensure Analilia Mejia wins the April 16 special election in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District.
There are 39 Democratic candidates and 18 Republicans. Here's who's running and when to vote.
Newsom has spent 1 in 5 days traveling outside California in second term
The legislator hasn't voted since March 5 and said he's been dealing with a medical issue.
New Jersey Rep. Tom Kean Jr., who has been absent from D.C. for more than a month, said he has been dealing with a "personal medical issue."
Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.
Brian Varela is in a crowded field of Democrats vying to take on Tom Kean Jr. in New Jersey's competitive 7th Congressional District.
The purchase of a warehouse for immigration detention and a funding fight over rail tunnel puts the vulnerable Tom Kean Jr. in a bind.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
