Anthony D’Esposito
24H29%Anthony D’Esposito is now at 29%, ahead by 7.0 points after trailing earlier.
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JUN 27, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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source: Kalshi
Anthony D’Esposito is now at 29%, ahead by 7.0 points after trailing earlier.
Brian Miller is now at 22%, with an 8.0-point lead over the prior leader in the NY-04 Republican nominee race.
Martin Smithmyer's odds reached 12%, topping the prior high of 6% over the last 21 days.
None of the provided news items mention the 2026 New York 4th Congressional District Republican nomination or any NY-04 GOP candidates. The stories focus on unrelated races in Iowa, Oregon, Kentucky, and broader midterm dynamics. No new, district-specific developments are reported for the NY-04 Republican nomination, so this set of stories should not materially move odds on its own.
Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.
Former congressman Steve King threw his support behind Republican gubernatorial candidate Zach Lahn ahead of the June 2 primary election.
That same trend of incumbents outraising challengers by significant or staggering margins has proven true in all six Oregon contests for the U.S. House as well.
Candidates looking to take down sitting members of Congress in primaries are stockpiling cash as their races heat up, according to fundraising reports filed Wednesday — and it’s Democratic lawmakers who are mostly on defense.
Pro-AI super PAC Leading the Future announced a $1.5 million spend to back candidates in Georgia, Montana and Iowa GOP primaries ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
A. D’EspositoAnthony D’Esposito
D. McGrathDennis McGrath
M. SmithmyerMartin SmithmyerSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
