Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

Who will win the 2026 New York District 13 US House Democratic Primary?

Jun 27, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 11 daysLast updated: Jun 16, 2026, 2:23 PM UTC

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

$234.6K

JUN 27, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Claim Offer$50TradeBonus

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$234.6K

24h volume

$27.7K

D. Chevalier52%

A. Espaillat50%

J. Amador1%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

June

TUE 23

New York 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

Latest Insights

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

A fresh NY-13 poll and ongoing race coverage have pushed Darializa Avila Chevalier back up to 59%, making the June 23 Democratic primary more volatile for traders.

51%0%

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

New reporting says the Hispanic Caucus PAC is spending more than $2.5 million to help Adriano Espaillat, while Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement of Darializa Avila Chevalier keeps NY-13’s June 23 primary in active trader focus.

News

AINews Summary

Espaillat now leads the NY-13 Democratic primary in a new poll, but a large share of voters remains undecided. The race is still drawing major outside spending and attention after Mamdani endorsed Avila Chevalier and her past posts came under scrutiny. The latest poll modestly helps Espaillat, but the large undecided share keeps the race uncertain. Heavy outside spending and the Mamdani endorsement suggest the market should still expect a competitive primary.

Articles

NNewsmax4 days ago

Hispanic Caucus PAC Backs Chair Espaillat With $2.5 Million

As a recent poll showed the incumbent trailing his challenger, the Congressional Hispanic Caucus' super PAC has spent more than $2.5 million to help Rep. Adriano Espaillat, D-N.Y., fend off a primary challenge from democratic socialist Darializa Avila Chevalier.

NYNew York Post4 days ago

Early voting starts Saturday in NY's primary elections

A slew of congressional and state chamber seats are up for grabs, with tens of thousands of ballots expected to be cast as early voting gets underway from June 13-21 ahead of the June 23 election.

NYNew York Post16 hours ago

Poll: Espaillat leads Mamdani-backed Chevalier by 8 points, many Dems undecided

Five-term incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads Zohran Mamdani-backed far left insurgent Darializa Avila Chevalier by a less than comfortable eight points in the Democratic primary for the 13th House District -- 35% to 27% -- with nearly four in ten voters still on the fence, a new poll claims.

NYNew York Post6 days ago

Mamdani claims he never saw vile, anti-American posts from DSA House candidate he endorsed

Mayor Zohran Mamdani on Wednesday claimed he never saw the mountain of vile social media posts from fellow DSA member Darializa Avila Chevalier -- before he endorsed her insurgent bid for Congress

NYNew York Post11 days ago

Mamdani-backed NY House candidate refuses to answer for puppeting Putin's Ukraine talking points

Mayor Zohran Mamdani's new controversial candidate for the US House race, repeatedly played dumb when pressed on her prior comments, accusing US of bullying Russia in the Ukraine war — parroting a talking point from Putin.

NYNew York Post11 days ago

Mamdani-backed House hopeful Darializa Avila Chevalier echoed Putin by blaming 'bullying' US for Russian invasion of Ukraine

Far-left New York congressional hopeful Darializa Avila Chevalier – already under fire over a slew of unhinged resurfaced social media rants – appeared to blame the US for Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine in a since-deleted post.

NYNew York Post14 days ago

Mamdani stands with incendiary DSA House candidate who called US a 'f

Mayor Zohran Mamdani refused to distance himself from a controversial far-left US House candidate — despite a slew of inflammatory social media posts emerging after his endorsement.

TNThe New York Times14 days ago

Group Pledges $2 Million to Fight AIPAC in House Races

A super PAC created to counter spending from powerful pro-Israel groups will try to help Democrats critical of Israel’s wars and military actions.

CNCable News Network15 days ago

Mamdani-backed congressional candidate deleted posts calling to seize private property, abolish police, borders, prisons

Darializa Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist congressional candidate endorsed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, deleted a previous Twitter account that included thousands of posts and reposts expressing support for abolishing police, prisons and borders, as well as seizing private property and nationalizing major industries and calling into question Israel’s right to exist.

TNThe New York Times19 days ago

Mamdani Gets Closer to Endorsing in Tightening Manhattan House Race

The mayor is giving serious thought to getting behind Darializa Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist who is challenging Representative Adriano Espaillat.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

37.3%

31.3%

A. Espaillat

D. Chevalier

O. Romero

T. Chino-Tavarez

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Espaillat	Chevalier	Romero	Chino-Tavarez
Polling Average	Espaillat+6.0	37.3%	31.3%	3.0%	2.0%
Mercury Public AffairsJun 9 - 11	Espaillat+8.0	35.0%	27.0%	–	–
Data for ProgressJun 3 - 9	Chevalier+4.0	35.0%	39.0%	2.0%	2.0%
Upswing ResearchMar 25 - 30	Espaillat+14.0	42.0%	28.0%	4.0%	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 3, 2026

$2.5M

$1.9M

$1.3M

$625K

A. Espaillat

D. Chevalier

O. Romero

J. Amador

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. EspaillatAdriano Espaillat

$2.10MContrib: $2.07M

$963.4KSpent: $1.54M

$85.4KLast period: $738.4K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jun 3, 2026

D. ChevalierDarializa Avila Chevalier

$402.9KContrib: $402.8K

$217.0KSpent: $185.8K

$12.4KLast period: $261.6K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

O. RomeroOscar Romero

$11.8KContrib: $3.2K

$1.6KSpent: $10.2K

$682Last period: $2.4K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

J. AmadorJaliel Amador

$5.7KContrib: $5.7K

$0Spent: $5.7K

$407Last period: $217

TERMINATION REPORT · Feb 27, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 New York District 13 US House Democratic Primary?

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

News

Hispanic Caucus PAC Backs Chair Espaillat With $2.5 Million

Early voting starts Saturday in NY's primary elections

Poll: Espaillat leads Mamdani-backed Chevalier by 8 points, many Dems undecided

Mamdani claims he never saw vile, anti-American posts from DSA House candidate he endorsed

Mamdani-backed NY House candidate refuses to answer for puppeting Putin's Ukraine talking points

Mamdani-backed House hopeful Darializa Avila Chevalier echoed Putin by blaming 'bullying' US for Russian invasion of Ukraine

Mamdani stands with incendiary DSA House candidate who called US a 'f

Group Pledges $2 Million to Fight AIPAC in House Races

Mamdani-backed congressional candidate deleted posts calling to seize private property, abolish police, borders, prisons

Mamdani Gets Closer to Endorsing in Tightening Manhattan House Race

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

New York Governor winner?

NY-07 Democratic nominee?

NY-10 Democratic nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

News

Hispanic Caucus PAC Backs Chair Espaillat With $2.5 Million

Early voting starts Saturday in NY's primary elections

Poll: Espaillat leads Mamdani-backed Chevalier by 8 points, many Dems undecided

Mamdani claims he never saw vile, anti-American posts from DSA House candidate he endorsed

Mamdani-backed NY House candidate refuses to answer for puppeting Putin's Ukraine talking points

Mamdani-backed House hopeful Darializa Avila Chevalier echoed Putin by blaming 'bullying' US for Russian invasion of Ukraine

Mamdani stands with incendiary DSA House candidate who called US a 'f

Group Pledges $2 Million to Fight AIPAC in House Races

Mamdani-backed congressional candidate deleted posts calling to seize private property, abolish police, borders, prisons

Mamdani Gets Closer to Endorsing in Tightening Manhattan House Race

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

New York Governor winner?

NY-07 Democratic nominee?

NY-10 Democratic nominee?