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JUN 27, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Hakeem Jeffries’ NY-8 nomination odds eased from 93% to 98% over the past week, while Axios coverage has kept attention on intra-party tension around his leadership. In a safe district, the move is more about trader sentiment than seat risk, but it signals the market is less complacent than it was earlier this month.
Vance Bostic's odds reached 6%, topping the prior high of 1% over the last 60 days.
There are no direct updates on the New York 8th Congressional District Democratic nomination in the provided news. The recent items are about other races and broader midterm themes, so they offer little new information for this market. No clear market impact for this nomination race from the provided news. The updates are mostly unrelated to New York 8th, so they do not change the outlook much.
Former "Summer House" star Luke Gulbrandson has announced his candidacy for Minnesota's 8th congressional district.
Former Summer House alum Luke Gulbrandson has announced his candidacy for Minnesota's 8th congressional district.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.
Turning Point is hosting President Donald Trump at a Phoenix church to help boost Arizona's Republicans in the 2026 midterms in a "Red Wall" effort.
The last time former Rep. and South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford went up against President Donald Trump, it didn't end well for him.
H. JeffriesHakeem JeffriesV. BosticVance BosticSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
