Adam Miller
6%24H92%Adam Miller’s odds in "OH-15 Democratic nominee?" are now 92%, topping the previous high of 86%.
Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$815.36
MAY 6, 2026
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Claim $20 trading on Kalshi.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Adam Miller’s odds in "OH-15 Democratic nominee?" are now 92%, topping the previous high of 86%.
Adam Miller’s odds reached 90%, topping the prior high of 86% over the last 43 days.
The U.S. Supreme Court let stand rulings that keep Samuel Ronan off the Ohio 15th District Republican primary ballot. The case centered on allegations he misrepresented his party affiliation, with filings describing a strategy of running Democrats as Republicans. There were no reported updates on the Democratic primary field. This news is about the Republican primary, not the Democratic nomination, so it likely has little direct impact on this market. It may slightly reduce uncertainty about the GOP field, with unclear spillover effects for Democrats.
Samuel Ronan, a former Democratic state and national candidate, attempted to run as a Republican in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District against GOP incumbent Rep. Mike Carey.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is asking lawmakers to pass a redistricting plan that would give Republicans a better chance to pick up four House seats.
The Cleveland-area congresswoman could lead the House Agriculture Committee if Democrats retake the House, but first she must win the May 5 Democratic primary.
Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.
The U.S.
A. MillerAdam Miller
D. LeonardDon LeonardSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
