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Who will win the 2026 Tennessee District 9 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 7, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 12 daysLast updated: Jul 27, 2026, 1:23 AM UTC

TN-09 Republican nominee?

$36.5K

AUG 7, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$36.5K

24h volume

B. Taylor89%

T. Warner15%

C. Bergmann1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

THU 6

Tennessee 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Tennessee 2026 general election

Latest Insights

TN-09 Republican nominee?

Donald Trump backed Brent Taylor for "TN-09 Republican nominee?", and Taylor is currently at 70%.

70%

News

AINews Summary

Tennessee’s new map is still in place after court challenges failed to stop it before the primary. The redraw split Memphis and made the 9th District more Republican-leaning, while Steve Cohen dropped his reelection bid. Justin Pearson has also picked up public support from Kamala Harris and Indivisible. The redistricting ruling and Cohen’s exit reinforce the GOP-leaning setup for the nomination contest. Pearson’s outside support may boost his profile, but the overall market picture still appears shaped by the new map.

Articles

KNKnoxville News-Sentinel3 days ago

Federal panel upholds Republicans' redistricting of Memphis

A panel of federal judges denied a preliminary injunction, effectively upholding Tennessee Republicans' gerrymander of Memphis.

KNKnoxville News-Sentinel2 months ago

Kamala Harris tells Justin Pearson 'your fight is for America'

Plus, Blackburn hosts a policy summit and Cohen endorses Molder in the 5th Congressional District.

NNPR4 days ago

GOP redistricting has divided Black areas in these 6 states : NPR

These maps show that the redistricting battle President Trump initiated has so far had a particular impact on largely Black congressional districts in Republican-led states.

TIThe Intercept1 month ago

Bernie Sanders Backs House Hopeful Who Fought Tennessee Redistricting

State Rep. Justin Pearson challenged the last Tennessee Democrat in the House. Now he’s up against the threat of total GOP control.

NYNew York Post2 months ago

Tennesse Dem Steve Cohen tears up on air after redistricting destroys his reelection bid

Tennessee Rep. Steve Cohen broke down in tears while reflecting on his decision to drop his reelection bid after redistricting all but ensured he had no path to victory.

NNNBC News2 months ago

NAACP calls for Black student-athletes to boycott Southern schools amid redistricting backlash

The NAACP is urging Black student-athletes to withhold their college commitments in states where new congressional maps could be drawn.

KNKnoxville News-Sentinel2 days ago

Tennessee primary turnout jumps by 45% compared with 2022

Over 250,000 Tennesseans cast ballots in the first two days of early voting, a 45% increase over 2022.

KNKnoxville News-Sentinel2 months ago

Get the latest updates with TN redistricting lawsuits guide

See what has happened and what is next in the four lawsuits trying to block Tennessee Republicans' congressional redistricting.

WEWashington Examiner7 days ago

House GOP campaign arm expands 2026 target list

The targets include seats that were redrawn following rounds of redistricting in several states.

BIBusiness Insider1 month ago

The Data Center Boom Is Colliding With the Midterms

The majority of competitive House districts have data centers either planned or under construction, a POLITICO analysis shows.

Endorsements

Brent Taylor

Donald Trump

President Donald Trump endorsed Brent Taylor for the Republican nomination in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District.

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Tom Emmer

House Majority Whip Tom Emmer endorsed Brent Taylor.

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Steve Scalise

House Majority Leader Steve Scalise endorsed Brent Taylor.

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Jason Smith

Rep. Jason Smith endorsed Brent Taylor.

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Matt Van Epps

Rep. Matt Van Epps endorsed Brent Taylor.

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Diana Harshbarger

Rep. Diana Harshbarger endorsed Brent Taylor.

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Tim Burchett

Rep. Tim Burchett endorsed Brent Taylor.

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Jason

Jason endorsed Brent Taylor.

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Dolores Gresham

Former State Senator Dolores Gresham endorsed Brent Taylor for Tennessee's Ninth Congressional District.

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Bill Hagerty

Bill Hagerty endorsed Brent Taylor for Tennessee's Ninth Congressional District.

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Marsha Blackburn

Marsha Blackburn endorsed Brent Taylor for Tennessee's Ninth Congressional District.

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Charlotte Bergmann

Lara Oliver Hamilton

Lara Oliver Hamilton endorsed Charlotte Bergmann.

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Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 17, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

B. Taylor

T. Warner

J. Thompson

C. Bergmann

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

B. TaylorBrent Taylor

$1.43MContrib: $425.3K

$856.6KSpent: $569.9K

$31.7KLast period: $425.3K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

T. WarnerTodd Warner

$689.6KContrib: $69.6K

—Spent: $468.5K

$24.7KLast period: $8.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 17, 2026

J. ThompsonJeremy Thompson

$168.7KContrib: $168.7K

$78.1KSpent: $90.6K

$5.0KLast period: $168.7K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

C. BergmannCharlotte Bergmann

$66.9KContrib: $66.9K

$11.7KSpent: $58.6K

$3.1KLast period: $5.3K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 17, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls

Who will win the 2026 Tennessee District 9 US House Republican Primary?

TN-09 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

TN-09 Republican nominee?

News

Federal panel upholds Republicans' redistricting of Memphis

Kamala Harris tells Justin Pearson 'your fight is for America'

GOP redistricting has divided Black areas in these 6 states : NPR

Bernie Sanders Backs House Hopeful Who Fought Tennessee Redistricting

Tennesse Dem Steve Cohen tears up on air after redistricting destroys his reelection bid

NAACP calls for Black student-athletes to boycott Southern schools amid redistricting backlash

Tennessee primary turnout jumps by 45% compared with 2022

Get the latest updates with TN redistricting lawsuits guide

House GOP campaign arm expands 2026 target list

The Data Center Boom Is Colliding With the Midterms

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

TN-05 Democratic nominee?

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

TN-04 Democratic nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

TN-09 Republican nominee?

News

Federal panel upholds Republicans' redistricting of Memphis

Kamala Harris tells Justin Pearson 'your fight is for America'

GOP redistricting has divided Black areas in these 6 states : NPR

Bernie Sanders Backs House Hopeful Who Fought Tennessee Redistricting

Tennesse Dem Steve Cohen tears up on air after redistricting destroys his reelection bid

NAACP calls for Black student-athletes to boycott Southern schools amid redistricting backlash

Tennessee primary turnout jumps by 45% compared with 2022

Get the latest updates with TN redistricting lawsuits guide

House GOP campaign arm expands 2026 target list

The Data Center Boom Is Colliding With the Midterms

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

TN-05 Democratic nominee?

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

TN-04 Democratic nominee?