State Lean
Lean Republican
Not a core swing state
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Total volume
$11.2K
24h volume
$889
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Kansas · US Senate
State Lean
Lean Republican
Not a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Aug 4, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Advance in-person voting may begin up to 20 days before Election Day and must begin no later than one week before Election Day; local schedules vary.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
FRI 10
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Roger Marshall remains the Republican incumbent in Kansas and has picked up a Teamsters endorsement. He also holds a fundraising lead over Democrat Adam Hamilton. A separate report says U.S.-Canada trade tensions could create some headwinds for Republicans in Kansas. The race still appears to lean Republican, but Marshall’s endorsement and fundraising edge are partly offset by reports that trade issues could pressure GOP support. Overall, the news suggests a modestly competitive but still Republican-favored market.
Iowa and Kansas are now battlegrounds in Senate races.

Just a day before the midterms, Kalshi traders give Democrats a 74% of controlling the Senate.

In order to flip the Senate, Democrats need to keep control of their 47 seats and gain four more.

The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.

As early voting breaks records, the president harps on Washington construction projects and "communist jihadists"
The 2026 election is nearly here, and battles for control of the U.S. Senate and House are continuing to heat up
Adam Hamilton said Sunday he'd welcome support from the president's former voters.
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
No verified final result is available for this race.
Democratic party
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?
Settlement pending
Republican party
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?
Settlement pending