Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
38.0%
31.8%
23.9%
Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$12.7M
MAY 27, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Claim $20 trading on Kalshi.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Texas Republicans are headed to a May runoff for U.S. Senate after neither Ken Paxton nor John Cornyn won a majority in the March primary. A new poll shows Democrat James Talarico narrowly leading both Cornyn and Paxton in potential general-election matchups. The runoff winner is expected to face Talarico in November 2026. The runoff framing keeps the market focused on a two-candidate finish between Paxton and Cornyn. The poll showing Talarico ahead of both could raise uncertainty around which Republican is seen as the stronger nominee.
Democrats worry nominees like Graham Platner in Maine could jeopardize winnable Senate races, even as the party eyes a favorable 2026 map.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
LENEXA, Kan. (AP) — The pastor of the largest United Methodist Church in the U.S. launched a campaign Thursday for the Democratic nomination for a U.S.
The pastor of the largest United Methodist Church in the U.S. has launched a campaign for the Democratic nomination for a U.S. Senate seat in Kansas. The Rev.
The Republicans who control Florida’s legislature on Tuesday will take up a new map proposed by Gov. Ron DeSantis to give GOP an edge in four seats now held by Democrats – in what is likely the final maneuver in the coast-to-coast redistricting battle that has raged for months between the political parties.
The survey, conducted by Texas Public Opinion Research, found Talarico ahead of Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, 44% to 41%, and ahead of Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton 46% to 41%.
Democratic state Rep. James Talarico is leading both of his potential opponents in the U.S. Senate race, according to a new poll.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Craig Goldman
U.S. Representative Craig Goldman endorsed John Cornyn for re-election to the U.S. Senate.
Mattie Parker
Fort Worth Mayor Mattie Parker endorsed John Cornyn for re-election to the U.S. Senate.
Michael Burgess
Former U.S. Representative Michael Burgess endorsed John Cornyn for re-election to the U.S. Senate.
Betsy Price
Former Fort Worth Mayor Betsy Price endorsed John Cornyn for re-election to the U.S. Senate.
J. CornynJohn CornynK. PaxtonKen Paxton
B. DuyneBeth Van DuyneSource: FEC
