$13.3M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 19, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 47.3% | $68.56M | |
| 42% | 44.4% | $9.25M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Recent coverage says the Texas Senate race remains very close between Ken Paxton and James Talarico. Republicans are also pouring money into the race, while Paxton faces new scrutiny over an alleged confrontation in London. Wesley Hunt’s ambassador nomination removes a former primary contender from the Texas Senate field. The close polling keeps the race highly competitive and likely sustains uncertainty. Outside spending and campaign activity suggest both sides are still investing heavily, while the Paxton allegation could add some downside risk for Republicans.
The latest poll comparing Gov. Greg Abbott and his Democratic opponent Gina Hinojosa shows the challenger leading by four points.
A Republican governor candidate doesn’t want anyone renting near his mansion, our must-read newsletter The Swamp reveals.
Democratic Senate candidates entered summer with a cash edge, while Trump-linked groups now pour money into increasingly crowded and costly ad markets.
Democratic incumbents were rocked by a wave of upsets from far-left challengers as their primary voters indicated that "socialism" isn't necessarily a dirty word for them.
The latest polling in Texas' pivotal U.S. Senate race shows a dead heat between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton.
Cornyn’s allies continued the persuasion campaign after the primary, which advanced the senator and Paxton to a runoff. According to a White House aide, Thune
SD 28 Democratic candidate Riley Rodriquez shares an opinion column arguing Bo French's recent racist UT football social post isn't new in Texas politics.
Vice President JD Vance urged House Republicans to make Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed a boogeyman if their own opponents aren’t “that crazy” and stressed the importance of leveling with voters about their economic frustrations, according to a recording of the Tuesday closed-door meeting obtained by CNN.
The new Texas map gives Republicans a shot at flipping five seats. On paper.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 5, 2026 and Sep 17, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. TalaricoJames TalaricoK. PaxtonKen PaxtonSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
