Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Nevada Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and polling averages. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsPoll average
75%42.0%
26%45.1%

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$5.1M

24h volume

$880.5K

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Nevada · Governor

CompetitiveCore swing state

State Lean

Competitive

Core swing state

Primary System

Party primary or state-specific

No primary runoff

Election Rules

Primary Jun 9, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

Early voting generally runs from 17 days before Election Day through four days before Election Day.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Nevada 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

A new poll gives Aaron Ford a narrow 44% to 42% lead over Joe Lombardo, keeping the Nevada governor race tight. Kamala Harris also plans to campaign for Ford in Nevada. The race still looks highly competitive, with a sizable undecided share. The poll slightly improves Ford’s standing, but the race remains close and uncertain. Harris’s planned campaign stop could help Ford, though the overall market picture is still mixed.

Latest Polls

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45.1%
42.0%
Joe Lombardo
J. Lombardo
Aaron Ford
A. Ford
Date (Start - End)SpreadLombardoFord
Polling Average
Lombardo+3.0
45.1%42.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsOct 26 - 28
Ford+0.0
47.0%47.0%
Hart Research AssociatesOct 20 - 25
Ford+4.0
45.0%49.0%
RedBox ResearchOct 20 - 23
Ford+3.0
42.6%45.6%
Global Strategy GroupOct 8 - 13
Lombardo+1.0
48.0%47.0%
Concord Public Opinion PartnersSep 26 - 30
Lombardo+1.0
43.0%42.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsSep 22 - 26
Lombardo+2.0
42.0%40.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsSep 22 - 26
Lombardo+1.0
38.0%37.0%
Emerson CollegeSep 5 - 8
Ford+2.2
42.0%44.2%
Tarrance GroupJul 25 - 29
Lombardo+7.0
50.0%43.0%
Grassroots TargetingJul 8 - 16
Lombardo+12.0
52.0%40.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 15 - 16
Ford+0.0
44.0%44.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 9 - 12
Lombardo+3.0
50.0%47.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesJun 27 - 29
Lombardo+9.0
51.0%42.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 5 - 11
Lombardo+3.0
45.0%42.0%
Noble Predictive InsightsMar 10 - 13
Lombardo+1.0
39.0%38.0%
Hart Research AssociatesFeb 11 - 17
Lombardo+3.0
46.0%43.0%
Emerson CollegeNov 16 - 18
Ford+0.0
41.1%41.1%
Noble Predictive InsightsOct 7 - 13
Lombardo+3.0
40.0%37.0%
VoteTXTMay 15 - 19
Lombardo+21.0
50.7%29.7%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Nevada Governor winner?

No verified final result is available for this race.

  • Aaron Ford

    Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nevada

    Settlement pending

  • Joe Lombardo

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada

    Settlement pending