$782.4K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 21, 2026, 4:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | 45.9% | |
| 43% | 40.9% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new poll gives Aaron Ford a narrow 44% to 42% lead over Joe Lombardo, keeping the Nevada governor race tight. Kamala Harris also plans to campaign for Ford in Nevada. The race still looks highly competitive, with a sizable undecided share. The poll slightly improves Ford’s standing, but the race remains close and uncertain. Harris’s planned campaign stop could help Ford, though the overall market picture is still mixed.
The facilities have become a midterm issue in elections around the country, particularly in multiple Sunshine State contests.
Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo's new executive order comes amid a broader political reckoning with data centers and AI as he faces reelection.
Your morning catch-up: Newsom's polished pitch, why it's so hard to get a restraining order and more big stories
After backing Republican Joe Lombardo for governor in 2022, the Retail Association of Nevada endorsed Democratic opponent Aaron Ford in the 2026 race.
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as the Federal Reserve is expected to decide whether to raise interest rates.
Top Democrats across the country are privately warning that they do not have enough cash in the November midterm battle to capitalize on what could be their party’s best political environment in over a decade and are at serious risk of leaving winnable seats on the table.
Democrats are eyeing upset midterm election wins in House districts in Nebraska, Kentucky, Nevada, Texas and SOuth Carolina.
Gov. Gavin Newsom reiterated past remarks that Democrats nationwide need to be more pugnacious as the party casts about for a replacement to Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, who dropped out Wednesday after an ex-girlfriend accused him of sexual assault.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 15, 2023 and Sep 8, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
