State Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Compare the candidates' saved odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 75% | 42.0% | |
| 26% | 45.1% |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
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24h volume
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source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Nevada · Governor
State Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Jun 9, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Early voting generally runs from 17 days before Election Day through four days before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Nevada 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new poll gives Aaron Ford a narrow 44% to 42% lead over Joe Lombardo, keeping the Nevada governor race tight. Kamala Harris also plans to campaign for Ford in Nevada. The race still looks highly competitive, with a sizable undecided share. The poll slightly improves Ford’s standing, but the race remains close and uncertain. Harris’s planned campaign stop could help Ford, though the overall market picture is still mixed.
Reno-Sparks voters go to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3. Read up on the candidates on Washoe County ballots here.
Control of Congress hangs in the balance as midterm election voters in nine battleground states decide key Senate, House and governor races during Donald Trump's second term.
2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.
The midterm elections may be challenging for Republicans, but there are some key House races where the GOP might turn the tables.
Republican Joe Lombardo has an edge over Democrat Aaron Ford in the Nevada governor’s race, a new poll shows, but it also finds he has no coattails.
Democrats are eyeing upset midterm election wins in House districts in Nebraska, Kentucky, Nevada, Texas and SOuth Carolina.


| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Lombardo | Ford |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Lombardo+3.0 | 45.1% | 42.0% |
Noble Predictive InsightsOct 26 - 28 | Ford+0.0 | 47.0% | 47.0% |
Hart Research AssociatesOct 20 - 25 | Ford+4.0 | 45.0% | 49.0% |
RedBox ResearchOct 20 - 23 | Ford+3.0 | 42.6% | 45.6% |
Global Strategy GroupOct 8 - 13 | Lombardo+1.0 | 48.0% | 47.0% |
Concord Public Opinion PartnersSep 26 - 30 | Lombardo+1.0 | 43.0% | 42.0% |
Noble Predictive InsightsSep 22 - 26 | Lombardo+2.0 | 42.0% | 40.0% |
Noble Predictive InsightsSep 22 - 26 | Lombardo+1.0 | 38.0% | 37.0% |
Emerson CollegeSep 5 - 8 | Ford+2.2 | 42.0% | 44.2% |
Tarrance GroupJul 25 - 29 | Lombardo+7.0 | 50.0% | 43.0% |
Grassroots TargetingJul 8 - 16 | Lombardo+12.0 | 52.0% | 40.0% |
Public Policy PollingJul 15 - 16 | Ford+0.0 | 44.0% | 44.0% |
Wedgewood PollsJul 9 - 12 | Lombardo+3.0 | 50.0% | 47.0% |
Public Opinion StrategiesJun 27 - 29 | Lombardo+9.0 | 51.0% | 42.0% |
Global Strategy GroupMay 5 - 11 | Lombardo+3.0 | 45.0% | 42.0% |
Noble Predictive InsightsMar 10 - 13 | Lombardo+1.0 | 39.0% | 38.0% |
Hart Research AssociatesFeb 11 - 17 | Lombardo+3.0 | 46.0% | 43.0% |
Emerson CollegeNov 16 - 18 | Ford+0.0 | 41.1% | 41.1% |
Noble Predictive InsightsOct 7 - 13 | Lombardo+3.0 | 40.0% | 37.0% |
VoteTXTMay 15 - 19 | Lombardo+21.0 | 50.7% | 29.7% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
No verified final result is available for this race.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nevada
Settlement pending
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada
Settlement pending