Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 43.5% | $2.28M | |
| 36% | 43.0% | $257.1K |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$265.4K
24h volume
$16.5K
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Nevada 2nd District · US House
Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
Seat Dynamics
Open seat
Incumbent: Mark E. Amodei (R)
Election Rules
Primary Jun 9, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Why it matters
The seat is open, so candidate quality and fundraising can matter more than incumbency.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Nevada 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
There are no direct updates on Nevada's 2nd Congressional District in the provided news. The Nevada item concerns Kamala Harris campaigning for Aaron Ford, while the House coverage centers on other districts. Overall, this leaves the market outlook for this race unchanged. No clear market impact for this district from the provided news. The updates are mostly about other races, so they do not materially change the outlook here.
Reno-Sparks voters go to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3. Read up on the candidates on Washoe County ballots here.
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| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Flippo | Benitez-Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Flippo+0.5 | 43.5% | 43.0% |
Public Policy PollingOct 12 - 13 | Flippo+2.0 | 46.0% | 44.0% |
GBAOAug 31 - Sep 3 | Benitez-Thompson+1.0 | 37.0% | 38.0% |
Strategies 360Aug 22 - 26 | Flippo+3.0 | 45.0% | 42.0% |
Wedgewood PollsJul 9 - 12 | Benitez-Thompson+2.0 | 46.0% | 48.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
D. FlippoDavid Flippo
T. Benitez-ThompsonTeresa Benitez-ThompsonSource: FEC
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
No verified final result is available for this race.
Will Democratic win the House race for NV-02?
Settlement pending
Will Republican win the House race for NV-02?
Settlement pending