$51.4K
AUG 12, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 8, 2026, 3:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| Phil ScottRepublican | 98% |
| Joe BenningRepublican | 3% |
| John RodgersRepublican | 0% |
| Russ IngallsRepublican | 0% |
| Paul DameRepublican | 0% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The provided news does not include any Vermont Republican gubernatorial nomination updates. Most items cover Maine and Ohio races instead. There is no event-specific development here to move this market. No clear impact on this Vermont nomination market from the provided news. Odds and uncertainty appear unchanged based on these summaries.
We talked with the two Democrats running to unseat America's favorite governor. Here's what they see for Vermont.
By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.
Some races are more competitive than others, and several, like the U.S. Senate Democratic primary race between Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed, have received national attention.
Democrats in Maine have a new nominee to take on long-time incumbent Sen. Susan Collins in a race that is pivotal for both parties to win a Senate majority.
Dunlap overcame a first-round deficit to knock off state Sen. Joe Baldacci in a battle of Bangor-area politicians.
Pingree will compete against the Republican nominee, Bobby Charles, and independent Rick Bennett to succeed Gov. Janet Mills in November.
Ohio's primary election set up two marquee matchups in November.
Progressive Democrat Analilia Mejia is headed to Washington.
The Vermont senator drew a crowd of 1,400 for Maine politicians who need different things ahead of the June primaries.
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Five other GOP state leaders in New England
Five other GOP state leaders in New England endorsed Paul Dame.
Vermont Republican state legislators
Vermont Republican state legislators endorsed Paul Dame for Vermont GOP chair.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
