$14.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 74% | |
| 25% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The latest stories are about Democratic primary battles and Republican attacks on democratic socialists. One Maine Senate candidate, Graham Platner, withdrew after allegations, but that is unrelated to this Vermont race. No Vermont lieutenant governor-specific developments are reported. No direct Vermont lieutenant governor signal is reported here, so the market impact looks minimal. The main effect is broader partisan messaging noise rather than a clear shift in odds.
Minnesota Democrats will decide a competitive U.S. Senate primary Tuesday in another face-off between moderate and progressive candidates that could define the party’s identity heading into the...
The Democratic primary for governor in Wisconsin was neck-and-neck early Wednesday morning, with democratic socialist state lawmaker Francesca Hong and moderate Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley separated by less than a percentage point.
Vermont Democrats will try on Tuesday to do something they’ve been unable to do in five previous attempts: nominate a gubernatorial candidate who can beat Republican Gov. Phil Scott.
Democrats may still be able to replace Graham Platner as the Maine Senate nominee after new allegations were made against him.
The Senate primary race in Minnesota will be the latest test of left-wing energy in the party, in a state that was convulsed by the Trump administration’s deadly immigration crackdown this winter.
Vermont voters head to the polls August 11. Here is a guide to the major federal and statewide primary races.
Democratic socialists like AOC and Zohran Mamdani have made inroads in some cities. Republicans call them communists but the ideologies differ.
Graham Platner has formally withdrawn from the race for the U.S. Senate seat for Maine.
Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin successfully made the case that Connecticut Representative John Larson needed to retire. But in Massachusetts, it might not be that simple.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
