State Lean
Strong Democratic
Not a core swing state
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Vermont Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Vermont Governor winner?
$1.2M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 67% | 44.1% | |
| 33% | 39.4% |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$1.2M
24h volume
$176.1K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Vermont · Governor
Strong DemocraticNot a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Aug 11, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Early/absentee voting generally begins when ballots are available, no later than 20 days before Election Day, through the day before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Maine Democrats have nominated Troy Jackson after Graham Platner withdrew amid scandal. The race is still close in early polling, but Jackson starts with a major fundraising disadvantage against Susan Collins and allied Republican groups. The Maine Senate news may modestly help Democrats by keeping the race competitive, but the fundraising gap limits how much it shifts odds. Overall, the effect looks mixed and still uncertain.
Articles
BFBurlington Free Press14 hours ago
Vermont Election Day arrives after 131K early ballots
Vermont voters head to the polls after 131,000 early ballots were returned as of Oct. 28, with the governor’s race razor close.
SASanta Ana Orange County Register1 day ago
Election 2026: What to watch in Southern California in the midterms
Here are some of the key things that will be decided, from the race to replace Gov. Gavin Newsom to ballot propositions and the effects of redistricting.
WWTOP4 days ago
AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Minnesota on Election Day
WASHINGTON (AP) — Minnesota voters will elect a new governor and new senator Tuesday after retirement announcements by two prominent Democrats caused a reshuffl
TBThe Boston Globe5 days ago
Inside the Pennsylvania race that could shape the fight for the House
This pivotal purple district provides clues for the scale of Tuesday’s Democratic rise.
MJMother Jones2 days ago
On Abortion Rights, Nevada Offers a Perfect Snapshot of the Midterms
2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.
BBoston.com29 days ago
Troy Jackson is scrambling to defeat Maine Sen. Susan Collins. Time is not on his side.
It's a Monday night, and Troy Jackson has drawn about 250 people into a converted church to hear him talk about healthcare and labor in Maine.
AAl-Monitor3 months ago
Michigan primary offers key test of Democratic voters' views on Israel
By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.
BNBaltimore News3 months ago
Democrats reset campaign against Collins with new nominee
Democrats in Maine have a new nominee to take on long-time incumbent Sen. Susan Collins in a race that is pivotal for both parties to win a Senate majority.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.1%
39.4%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Vermont Governor winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:37 AM UTC
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Vermont
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:37 AM UTC