$99.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 23, 2026, 6:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 95% | 43.0% | |
| 6% | 30.0% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Maine Democrats have nominated Troy Jackson after Graham Platner withdrew amid scandal. The race is still close in early polling, but Jackson starts with a major fundraising disadvantage against Susan Collins and allied Republican groups. The Maine Senate news may modestly help Democrats by keeping the race competitive, but the fundraising gap limits how much it shifts odds. Overall, the effect looks mixed and still uncertain.
By Tim ReidWASHINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Michigan voters head to the polls on Tuesday in a high-stakes Democratic Senate primary that could shape the battle for control of Congress and the future of the Democratic Party amid a fierce internal debate over U.S. support for Israel.The contest pits Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official who wants to end unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and accuses it of genocide, against U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate backed by pro-Israel groups and a longtime outspoken supporter of Israel.
Democrats in Maine have a new nominee to take on long-time incumbent Sen. Susan Collins in a race that is pivotal for both parties to win a Senate majority.
Dunlap overcame a first-round deficit to knock off state Sen. Joe Baldacci in a battle of Bangor-area politicians.
Pingree will compete against the Republican nominee, Bobby Charles, and independent Rick Bennett to succeed Gov. Janet Mills in November.
Ohio's primary election set up two marquee matchups in November.
Progressive Democrat Analilia Mejia is headed to Washington.
New Hampshire Gov. Kelly Ayotte, a Republican, will face off against Democrat Cinde Warmington in November’s general election, NBC News projects, as the incumbent seeks another two-year term.
A House candidate in South Florida has a Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, while others are trying to win with progressive, outsider messaging.
Minnesota Democrats will decide a competitive U.S. Senate primary Tuesday in another face-off between moderate and progressive candidates that could define the party’s identity heading into the...
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 18, 2026 and Jul 20, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
