$542.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 15, 2026, 3:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 77% | 43.5% | |
| 23% | 36.3% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Maine Democrats have nominated Troy Jackson after Graham Platner withdrew amid scandal. The race is still close in early polling, but Jackson starts with a major fundraising disadvantage against Susan Collins and allied Republican groups. The Maine Senate news may modestly help Democrats by keeping the race competitive, but the fundraising gap limits how much it shifts odds. Overall, the effect looks mixed and still uncertain.
President Donald Trump is making an unusual campaign trip with the midterm elections looming.
President Donald Trump on Tuesday will devote a big chunk of his dwindling time ahead of crucial midterm elections to head all the way to Alaska — attempting to bolster a Republican incumbent senator in another sign of GOP fears about retaining control of Congress after Election Day on Nov. 3.
President Donald Trump is making an unusual campaign trip with the midterm elections looming.
President Donald Trump on Tuesday will devote a big chunk of his dwindling time ahead of crucial midterm elections to head all the way to Alaska — attempting to bolster a Republican incumbent senator in another sign of GOP fears about retaining control of Congress after Election Day on Nov. 3.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 18, 2026 and Oct 4, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
