$647.00
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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source: Kalshi
The biggest recent development is in Maine, where Democrats are selecting a replacement Senate nominee after Graham Platner left the race. Separately, Matt Dunlap won Maine's 2nd District Democratic nomination. None of the reported news directly concerns Vermont's at-large House race. These updates are mostly about other Maine races, so they do not appear to move the Vermont House market directly. They add little clear signal for VT-AL odds.
Jackson is poised to be Maine Democrats' replacement to take on Susan Collins, but a political minefield stands between him and November.
Democratic committees in Maine's 16 counties were meeting this weekend to select delegates who will ultimately decide the party's US Senate nominee.
Dunlap overcame a first-round deficit to knock off state Sen. Joe Baldacci in a battle of Bangor-area politicians.
Pingree will compete against the Republican nominee, Bobby Charles, and independent Rick Bennett to succeed Gov. Janet Mills in November.
If no candidates receives a majority of votes, the two top candidates will move on to an election in November.
Ohio's primary election set up two marquee matchups in November.
A former logger, the owner of a brewery and a public health chief are among the candidates now vying for the Democratic nomination to take on Sen. Susan Collins.
A new day has dawned in Democratic politics, with the Kennedy clan no longer conferring enough fame and fortune to overcome more experienced opponents
The Vermont senator drew a crowd of 1,400 for Maine politicians who need different things ahead of the June primaries.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this week put Jasmeet Bains, a state legislator, on its "Red to Blue" list.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
