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JUN 17, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Kenyan McDuffie’s win odds jumped from 43% to 49% while Janeese Lewis George fell from 43% to 49%, extending the post-endorsement bounce. Traders should note that the market is still pricing Lewis George as the favorite, but McDuffie’s restaurant-backed surge is now showing up in the tape.
A new poll still has Janeese Lewis George leading Kenyan McDuffie 39% to 34%, even after the Restaurant Association of Metropolitan Washington backed McDuffie. Traders should treat that as evidence the business endorsement has not yet closed the gap in the D.C. mayoral primary.
A fresh poll has Janeese Lewis George ahead of Kenyan McDuffie 39% to 34%, even as McDuffie continues to benefit from the Restaurant Association of Metropolitan Washington endorsement. Traders should treat that as confirmation that the race remains close, but McDuffie’s business-backed push has not yet flipped the market leader.
Lewis George leads McDuffie in the latest poll, but many voters are still undecided. McDuffie picked up a restaurant industry endorsement, and the race continues to center on juvenile crime and public safety. Ranked-choice voting could still matter a lot. The poll modestly helps Lewis George, but the large undecided share and ranked-choice dynamics keep the race uncertain. McDuffie’s endorsement and second-choice strength could still support him.
A new poll shows Janeese Lewis George ahead of Kenyan McDuffie, but second-choice votes under DC's new ranked-choice system could tighten the race.
U.S. District Attorney Jeanine Pirro says she plans to crack down on D.C. juvenile crime with or without local officials after Democratic mayoral candidates refused to cooperate.
After a weekend that saw what appeared to be juveniles brawling and throwing chairs inside the Navy Yard Chipotle, it will be candidates for D.C. mayor, instead
RAMW backing of McDuffie, an ally of Bowser's, continues the business group's support for more centrist-leaning candidates.
Four candidates seeking to succeed longtime DC Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton squared off in Sunday forum.
Five candidates to replace longtime DC Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton laid out competing strategies on statehood Saturday at a forum.
Mayor Muriel Bowser is not seeking reelection in Washington DC. Janeese Lewis George and Kenyan McDuffie are the top candidates ahead of June's primary
The AIPAC-backed candidate in Kentucky's 4th Congressional district won, but two AIPAC-supported candidates lost in Pennsylvania's 3rd.
This week, he reviewed the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool that he’s ordered repainted in “American flag blue.” Trump has also proposed transforming East Potomac Park into a high-end golf course. Preservation advocates are concerned.
Trump is guaranteeing himself a lasting imprint on a city where he won just 6.5% of the vote in 2024.
Restaurant Association of Metropolitan Washington
Restaurant Association of Metropolitan Washington endorsed Brooke Pinto for D.C. mayor.
Restaurant Association of Metropolitan Washington
Restaurant Association of Metropolitan Washington endorsed Brian Schwalb for D.C. attorney general.
B. PintoBrooke Pinto
R. WhiteRobert WhiteSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
