$45.6M
NOV 4, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 31, 2026, 10:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 58% | |
| 43% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Nithya Raman remains the main challenger after finishing second in the primary and advancing to face Karen Bass. Her campaign is getting fresh ad support and outside spending, while both sides are courting Spencer Pratt voters. Bass still leads in polling, so the market likely still favors her, but the race remains competitive. The new ad push and outside spending may modestly help Raman, but Bass still leads in polling. Overall, the race remains competitive with some uncertainty around where Pratt voters go.
Karen Bass outlined plans to expand LAPD to 9,500 officers and overhaul homeless housing as she makes her final pitch for reelection against Nithya Raman.
To win the race, Mayor Karen Bass will need to boost turnout among the city’s Black voters and across South L.A. But Councilmember Nithya Raman is also fighting for those votes.
Of the two candidates for mayor on the Nov. 3 ballot, Karen Bass is the only one who’s shown any common sense at all.
WASHINGTON (AP) — California voters will elect a new governor on Tuesday and decide a handful of House races that could swing the balance of power in Congress.
With less than a week before the mayoral election, LA Councilmember Nithya Raman and Mayor Karen Bass are tied, according to a new poll from Berkeley IGS and the LA Times.
Nithya Raman is embracing an Israel boycott she once opposed as the Democratic Socialists of America have given her until Oct. 31 to clarify her support or risk losing its endorsement ahead of the LA mayoral election.
Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass has erased councilmember Nithya Raman’s polling lead, tying the race at 40% support among likely voters, according to a new poll, with the election days away.
With less than a week to go before election day, Raman's double-digit lead in the mayoral race has evaporated.
The online rental platform has become one of the largest political donors in Los Angeles in a bid to expand its business before the 2028 Olympics.
LA City Councilwoman Nithya Raman and Mayor Karen Bass traded jabs in new ads and speeches ahead of next week's election.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. MillerAdam MillerSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
