$35.8M
NOV 4, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 4, 2026, 2:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 62% | |
| 39% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Nithya Raman remains the main challenger after finishing second in the primary and advancing to face Karen Bass. Her campaign is getting fresh ad support and outside spending, while both sides are courting Spencer Pratt voters. Bass still leads in polling, so the market likely still favors her, but the race remains competitive. The new ad push and outside spending may modestly help Raman, but Bass still leads in polling. Overall, the race remains competitive with some uncertainty around where Pratt voters go.
Bass’ campaign accused Raman her of skipping a Jewish Heritage Month event to appear on Hasan Piker’s livestream; Raman's camp says the Bass campaign is spreading misinformation.
Karen Bass and Nithya Raman are courting undecided voters as a new poll finds 34% of Latino voters remain undecided.
Nithya Raman's Los Angeles mayoral campaign has been accused of secretly paying social media influencers to promote her without properly disclosing the payments.
Nithya Raman hesitated naming her favorite LA rappers, citing Nipsey Hussle, Snoop Dogg and Tupac Shakur ahead of the Los Angeles mayoral election against Karen Bass.
Real estate executive Mauricio Umansky says bringing business back to California is critical as voters weigh the 2026 governor race between Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton.
Mayor Karen Bass faces a fierce reelection challenge from Councilmember Nithya Raman, setting up a generational contest between two Democrats with sharply different political coalitions.
The Jewish Los Angeles Mayoral Forum featured back-to-back conversations with Raman and Karen Bass on Tuesday evening.
Karl Marx said that history repeats twice: “[T]he first time as tragedy, the second time as farce." He may as well have been describing the socialist campaign of Nithya Raman in Los Angeles.
Two Democratic rivals seeking to become the next mayor of Los Angeles are meeting on the same stage just days before mail ballots go to voters. Mayor Karen Bass and challenger Nithya Raman are scheduled to appear at a forum Tuesday sponsored by the Jewish Federation Los Angeles. Bass — the first Black woman to hold the post — is fighting to keep her job after a rough first term that included the deadly Palisades Fire, the most destructive in Los Angeles history. Raman — who is backed by the Democratic Socialists of America — says the city is desperate for fresh leadership.
Like in other major cities, Los Angeles voters are going to replace a failing Democrat with another failing Democrat and learn nothing from it.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. MillerAdam MillerSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
