$16.1K
NOV 7, 2029
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 11:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
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| 82% | |
| 13% | |
| 5% | |
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Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Recent coverage around Zohran Mamdani is mostly about backlash and criticism, including a 9/11 remembrance controversy. The rest of the news summaries focus on other elections and do not appear to move this mayoral market directly. The Mamdani-related coverage could add some negative attention, but the effect on the mayoral market is unclear from these summaries alone. Most of the other news is unrelated to this race.
A new poll shows Nithya Raman leading Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass by 8 points, with 71.7% of voters disapproving of Bass's job performance.
In LA, 44.2% of likely voters have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). Only 41.3% have an unfavorable view.
“Childcare is another rent, another car note," said Jenny Escolastico, an Air Force veteran in Allentown, Pa., who left the work force because of the math.
The fight to lead Los Angeles City Hall is matching the unpopular incumbent, Karen Bass, against a lightly known city council member backed by the
The fight to lead Los Angeles City Hall is matching the unpopular incumbent, Karen Bass, against a lightly known city council member backed by the Democratic Socialists of America, Nithya Raman. They are both Democrats. The race will determine if voters want to turn to the political left and follow New York’s lead, where democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani was elected mayor. Bass has been stressing her credentials on public safety, while Raman is urging voters to support her for a change at City Hall.
The midterm elections have been dominated by anxiety over rising prices for gas, groceries and housing, but for millions of parents of young children, childcare is one of the largest strains on the family budget.
Rising childcare costs are a factor for parents weighing how to vote in November's midterm elections. In Pennsylvania's hotly contested 7th Congressional District, both candidates are making childcare...
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
