$252.89
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 11, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 92% | |
| 7% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Nevada’s election chief pushed back on a DHS claim about possible noncitizen voter registrations, saying the numbers are unsupported. Another story highlighted Governor Joe Lombardo’s reelection race and a bodycam-related controversy, but it is not directly tied to the Reno mayoral contest. The Nevada voter-registration dispute could add uncertainty around election administration, but the effect on the Reno mayoral market is indirect. The Lombardo story is statewide and does not clearly move this race.
Mark Curtis writes: Maybe it’s not a priority. If it was, seems like it would show up on someone’s website, or pop up as a topic in their campaign fundraisers.
Nevada Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar disputes claim by Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin over voter registration of noncitizens.
Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo got out of a traffic ticket after being stopped for a red light violation in Las Vegas, as seen on bodycam footage.
Nevada lawmakers advanced 2027 election proposals on federal interference, ballot processing and recounts.
The Democratic Socialists of America want to abandon capitalism and US democratic institutions as we know them in favor of a vision of socialism that plays well on college campuses but can’t hold up in the real world.
Republican challenger Jim Marchant has $14 cash on hand in bid to unseat Democratic incumbent Cisco Aguilar for Nevada secretary of state.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
