Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46%
43.5%
Republican
Aaron Flint
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Montana
Republican
$32.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Aaron Flint is trading at 66% to win the MT-01 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleRadio talk show host
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
GenderMale
LocationMontana
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BackgroundRadio talk show host
Notable personal detailsAaron Flint is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Montana’s 1st Congressional District (MT-01) and the 2026 Republican nominee. He is a conservative talk radio host and the creator/host of the statewide program “Montana Talks.” Flint is a retired U.S. Army lieutenant colonel who served more than 20 years in the Army National Guard and Reserves, with deployments including Iraq and Afghanistan, and he has said he earned two Bronze Stars. He has worked in political communications, including roles connected to Sen. Conrad Burns, Gov. Greg Gianforte, and Rep. Ryan Zinke.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govcandidatefiling.mt.govflintformontana.comkjjr.cominsideelections.comprojects.montanafreepress.orgnrcc.orgkalshi.comuschamber.commontana1stnews.comballotready.orgsos.wyo.govmissoulagop.orgwhitney.orgpredictionedge.comdailymontanan.commontanarightnow.comwikimediafoundation.orgmontanafreepress.orgopi.mt.govquery-scholarly.wikidata.orgkbulnewstalk.commontanatalks.comnewsmax.comamericansforprosperity.orgcrimeresearch.orgapnews.comktvq.comen.wikipedia.orgcolumbiagorgenews.comwhitehallledger.comnbcmontana.comthehill.comeenews.netsubscriber.politicopro.comhelenair.comfacebook.comivoterguide.combillingsgazette.commtstandard.combozemandailychronicle.comnytimes.comktvh.comtheguardian.comamericanjournalnews.comwashingtonreporter.newspublicdomain.medianationalmemo.comdailykos.comdemocrats.senate.govdocquery.fec.govdaines.senate.govestes.house.govcongress.govgovinfo.govfr.wikipedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
The candidate supports cutting taxes and reducing regulations, promoting manufacturing and energy production, and growing the economy. He emphasizes support for farmers and ranchers and advancing U.S. energy dominance as part of his economic agenda.
Healthcare
Aaron Flint has voiced opposition to COVID-19 vaccine mandates for healthcare workers and has promoted individual medical choice and 'vaccine freedom' in his radio commentary and articles. His public statements emphasize resisting employer or government compulsion for vaccinations rather than expanding government-run health coverage programs.
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Immigration & Border
Aaron Flint supports stronger border security and emphasizes stopping migrant crime while pressing a conservative enforcement-oriented approach to immigration. His campaign messaging and public remarks frame immigration as a security and cultural concern rather than advocating expanded legalization pathways or asylum protections.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate opposes broad abortion access and has criticized ballot measures and referenda that would expand or enshrine abortion rights; he promotes pregnancy medical clinics and supports protections for newborns. His public statements frame abortion as something that should be limited and protected life as a priority.
Climate & Energy
Supports expanded domestic energy production and ‘‘American energy dominance,’’ favors cutting taxes and regulations to grow the economy, and criticizes Biden-era energy policies. Emphasizes prioritizing fossil-fuel development and removing permitting barriers to increase energy output.
Public Safety & Guns
Aaron Flint has publicly criticized gun-control proposals and framed Democrats as pursuing “gun-grabbing” policies; he has hosted and promoted discussions opposing federal firearm regulations and appeared at gun industry events. His public commentary consistently aligns with defending Second Amendment rights and opposing new federal gun restrictions.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
Aaron Flint recently won the Republican primary in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, becoming the GOP nominee in the open House race. The contest has drawn heavy outside spending, including AI-linked super PAC money that his primary opponent said helped Flint. More recently, Democrats have elevated the race with added campaign support, and reports say Republican fundraising is trailing some Democratic candidates in Montana politics.
fec.gov+55
Articles
NNewsmax3 months ago
Anthropic, OpenAI PACs Pour $37 Million Into 2026 Midterm,
Positive
TAThe Associated Press3 months ago
What to expect in Montana’s state primary
Neutral
MMMissoula Missoulian7 months ago
Candidate filing opens, kicking off 2026 election season
Neutral
WEWashington Examiner1 month ago
DCCC adds five candidates to 2026 'Red to Blue' midterm program
Neutral
Latest Polls
MT-01 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aaron Flint currently averages 46.0%, ranking first in this race, 2.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 46.0%Position: firstMargin: +2.5 ptsLatest poll: 44.0% (Jun 22 - 25)Polls included: 2
Average recalculated from polls through Jun 22 - 25.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.3M
$977.5K
$651.7K
$325.8K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$1.3M
$502.2K
$801.2K
$44.5K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements