Prediction Edge
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Ashley Hinson

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age43 years old (Jun 27, 1983)

GenderFemale

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LocationIowa

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUniversity of Southern California — B.A., Broadcast Journalism (2004)

Notable personal detailsAshley Elizabeth Hinson is a Republican politician and former television journalist serving as the U.S. Representative for Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District (in office since January 3, 2021; the district was numbered IA-01 during her first term). She previously served in the Iowa House of Representatives (2017–2021) and worked as a reporter/anchor for KCRG-TV in Cedar Rapids. She earned a B.A. in Broadcast Journalism from the University of Southern California. She is married to Matt Arenholz and they have two sons.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports extending and making permanent provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and other tax cuts, promotes lowering taxes for working families and small businesses, and emphasizes reining in federal spending and balancing the budget. Backed recent Republican tax-and-spending legislation described by her campaign and public statements as preventing tax increases and delivering tax relief to families and small businesses.

Healthcare

Opposes expanding government-run health coverage and criticizes the Affordable Care Act; supports Republican legislation that would reduce federal Medicaid spending and favors market-based approaches to lowering costs. Has voted against extensions of enhanced ACA premium tax credits and described insurance as not something the government must provide to every American.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes stronger border security and increased immigration enforcement, including empowering ICE and deporting individuals she describes as dangerous. She has supported legislation to exclude noncitizens from census apportionment, backed measures to limit asylum and end “catch and release,” and voted for laws to prevent noncitizen voter registration while expressing support for targeted fixes like DACA for some DREAMERs.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports pro-life policies and has opposed federal protections for abortion access. She has cosponsored legislation that would grant legal personhood at conception and would effectively ban abortion nationwide. She has expressed support for Iowa’s restrictive abortion laws and opposed the Women’s Health Protection Act.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy strategy that includes renewables (especially Iowa wind and biofuels) while promoting expanded domestic fossil fuel and nuclear production, reducing regulatory barriers, and advocating for increased use of ethanol (E15).

Public Safety & Guns

Supports protecting Second Amendment rights and opposes broad federal gun-control measures; has sponsored legislation to remove the $200 NFA transfer tax and backed concealed-carry reciprocity and other measures expanding gun-owner rights. Emphasizes support for law-abiding gun owners while opposing what she calls sweeping anti-firearm regulations.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 4, 2026

Ashley Hinson won the Iowa Republican Senate primary and is now the GOP nominee for the open U.S. Senate seat. She will face Democrat Josh Turek in the general election, and early coverage says the race is expected to be competitive. Hinson has also been in the news for comments that the Iran war could hurt Republicans politically, while publicly defending Trump and emphasizing cost-of-living issues in the campaign.

hinson.house.gov+46

Polls

Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
61%
22%
Ashley Hinson
A. Hinson
Jim Carlin
J. Carlin
Date (Start - End)SpreadHinsonCarlin
Polling Average
Hinson+39.0
61.0%22.0%
JMC AnalyticsMay 27 - 28
Hinson+39.0
61.0%22.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Endorsers of Ashley Hinson for Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Donald Trump

Public figure

Donald Trump endorsed Ashley Hinson for the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Iowa.

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AFP Action

Public endorsement

AFP Action endorsed Ashley Hinson for U.S. Senate.

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Republican Senate leaders

Public endorsement

Republican Senate leaders backed Ashley Hinson for the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Iowa.

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Kim Reynolds

Public figure

Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds endorsed Ashley Hinson for Senate.

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Joni Ernst

Public figure

Sen. Joni Ernst endorsed Ashley Hinson for Iowa's U.S. Senate seat.

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John Thune

Public figure

Senate Majority Leader John Thune endorsed Ashley Hinson for Iowa Senate.

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Tim Scott

Public figure

NRSC Chair Tim Scott endorsed Ashley Hinson for Iowa Senate.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2024
Total raisedCash on hand
$7.2M
$5.4M
$3.6M
$1.8M
$0

2022

2024

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$7.2M
$68.4K
$7.2M
$301.7K

Cycle 2024

$5.6M
$1.9M
$3.7M
$155.9K

Source: FEC