$19.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 12:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59% | 45.8% | — | |
| 46% | 45.4% | $6.28M | |
| 1% | 43.7% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Ashley Hinson is narrowly ahead of Josh Turek in early Iowa Senate polling, even with weak Trump approval. Turek has secured the Democratic nomination, and recent coverage says the race is becoming more competitive. Democrats are still struggling to fully convert anti-Trump sentiment into votes. The polling keeps Iowa competitive but still gives Republicans a modest edge. Weak Trump approval has not yet translated into a clear Democratic lead, which may limit movement toward Turek.
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
A Fox News poll shows Republican Mike Rogers beating Democrat Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed 51 to 47 percent. | Politics
Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Josh Turek kicked off the Des Moines Register's Political Soapbox talking about taking on high costs and corruption.
The upcoming Iowa State Fair is a pivotal window of opportunity for candidates on the campaign trail.
Keisha Lance Bottoms narrowly leads in Georgia governor poll, but the race remains within the margin of error.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
Iowa state Rep. Josh Turek won Tuesday’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate and will next try to flip the seat currently held by GOP Sen. Joni Ernst, who is retiring. U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson has secured the GOP’s nomination for Senate. Turek defeated state Sen. Zach Wahls for the nomination. Turek is a former Paralympian and relative newcomer to public office, winning his state House seat in 2022. Many races in Iowa have attracted national interest. Zach Lahn won the GOP nomination for governor President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance have both touched down in the state this year to shore up Republican enthusiasm. Rob Sand is the Democratic nominee for governor.
Josh Turek and Zach Wahls, the Democratic candidates for U.S. Senate, made their final pitches as voters took to the polls on Tuesday.
Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-IA) soared to victory on Tuesday night in the Republican primary for Iowa's U.S. Senate seat.
Iowa voters will chose candidates in the Senate race and also for their House seats in primary elections Tuesday, June 2.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 8, 2026 and Aug 4, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. TurekJosh TurekSource: FEC
