$40.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 2, 2026, 5:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56% | 45.4% | — | |
| 46% | 46.0% | $6.28M | |
| 1% | — | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Ashley Hinson remains ahead in the Iowa Senate race, with a new poll showing her up 5 points over Josh Turek. Both nominees are now set after their primaries, and Turek is trying to close the gap by focusing on Social Security. The latest poll and prior primary results continue to favor Hinson. Turek’s Social Security push may help him define the race, but the reported edge still looks Republican-leaning.
Josh Turek holds a narrow edge over Ashley Hinson in the Iowa Senate race, with cost of living outpacing Donald Trump, immigration, and AI technology as top voter concerns.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
President Donald Trump is expected to announce plans for South Korea to invest roughly $54B in a project to export natural gas from Alaska.
Tom Cotton and GOP allies have spent $13.6 million on ads, compared with just $208,703 for Democrat Hallie Shoffner.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 3, 2026 and Sep 29, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. TurekJosh TurekSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
