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Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate Race?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

Iowa Senate winner? (Person)

$3.7K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$3.7K

24h volume

A. Hinson58%

J. Turek29%

Z. Wahls10%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

June

TUE 2

Iowa 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Iowa 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Josh Turek

24H29%

The new outside-spending surge makes Turek’s Democratic primary push more expensive and more visible, which could matter in a race where the winner will face favored Republican Ashley Hinson in November.

Josh Turek

24H28%

The endorsement gives Turek a notable boost in the Democratic primary, adding a high-profile Iowa name to a race the market already rates as a two-horse contest behind Ashley Hinson.

11d

News

AINews Summary

Iowa’s open Senate race is drawing major outside money, with Democrats planning a $13.4 million ad campaign against Ashley Hinson and Republicans already reserving $29 million. The Democratic primary remains between Zach Wahls and Josh Turek, while Republicans list Hinson and Jim Carlin for the June 2 primary. The race is being framed as a key battleground for Senate control. The heavy outside spending underscores that Iowa is becoming a major battleground, but the race remains unsettled with both primaries still in progress. The ad plans may slightly boost attention on the general election while leaving near-term uncertainty high.

Articles

TNThe New Yorker2 days ago

Can the Democrats Take Back the Senate?

Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.

UTUSA TODAY5 days ago

Democrats want to flip Iowa's US Senate seat. Will they choose Wahls?

State Rep. Josh Turek and state Sen. Zach Wahls are emphasizing their ability to take on U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa's U.S. Senate race.

DQDavenport Quad-City Times3 days ago

Local Democrats back Wahls in US Senate primary

The Senate Majority PAC, a part of U.S. Senate Democrats’ political arm, says it will invest an initial $13.4 million on television advertising, regardless of whether Josh Turek or Zach Wahls is nominee.

SCSioux City Journal3 days ago

Woodbury County Auditor & Recorder - Ad from 2026-05-16

Woodbury County Auditor & Recorder: NOTICE OF THE GENERAL PRIMARY ELECTION IN WOODBURY COUNTY JUNE 2, 2026 PUBLIC NOT...

DMDes Moines Register5 days ago

National Democrats to spend $13M targeting Hinson in Iowa Senate race

Senate Majority PAC, a super PAC that elects Democrats to the U.S. Senate, will spend $13.4 million targeting Ashley Hinson in Iowa's open race.

TBThe Boston Globe9 days ago

Vance or Rubio in 2028? For Trump, it’s an ongoing question.

Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are top names in the early GOP president race for 2028.

NNewsweek5 days ago

Roy Cooper's Chances of Beating Whatley to Flip North Carolina's GOP Senate Seat Surge-New Poll

Cooper extended his lead over Whatley in a new poll of the North Carolina Senate race released on Thursday.

UTUSA TODAY5 days ago

Local TV stars around US are running for Congress

Local TV stars from Miami to Pennsylvania are running for office. A former weatherman hopes breaking news experience will help fix a stalled Congress.

UNU.S. News & World Report6 days ago

Tax Cuts Collide With Inflation as Voters Weigh Trump's Economy in the Midterms

RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — Standing behind a downtown bar, Evan Duke smiled when he thought about no longer paying federal income tax on the hundreds of dollars in tips he earns on a busy night pouring beers and mixing drinks.

DMDes Moines Register13 days ago

3 takeaways from the Iowa Democratic US Senate primary debate

Iowa's Democratic U.S. Senate candidates, Josh Turek and Zach Wahls, clashed over immigration policy and campaign finance during a debate Tuesday.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

45.2%

43.7%

43.3%

A. Hinson

Z. Wahls

J. Turek

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Hinson	Wahls	Turek
Polling Average	Hinson+1.5	45.2%	43.7%	43.3%
Echelon InsightsApr 3 - 9	Wahls+2.0	44.0%	46.0%	–
Echelon InsightsApr 3 - 9	Turek+1.0	45.0%	–	46.0%
GBAOMar 10 - 16	Hinson+3.0	47.0%	44.0%	–
GBAOMar 10 - 16	Hinson+4.0	47.0%	–	43.0%
Change ResearchJan 8 - 11	Hinson+3.0	44.0%	41.0%	–
Change ResearchJan 8 - 11	Hinson+3.0	44.0%	–	41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Ashley Hinson

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Ashley Hinson for the 2026 Iowa Senate race.

Learn more

Josh Turek

Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg endorsed Josh Turek for the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Iowa.

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Tom Harkin

Tom Harkin endorsed Josh Turek for the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Iowa.

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J.D. Scholten

J.D. Scholten endorsed Josh Turek for the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Iowa.

Learn more

Zach Wahls

Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg endorsed Zach Wahls in the 2026 Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate primary.

Learn more

Tom Harkin

Tom Harkin endorsed Zach Wahls in the 2026 Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate primary.

Learn more

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

Z. Wahls

J. Turek

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

Z. WahlsZach Wahls

$3.17MContrib: $3.16M

$1.06MSpent: $2.11M

$140.8KLast period: $1.12M

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

J. TurekJosh Turek

$2.81MContrib: $2.81M

$757.5KSpent: $2.05M

$136.7KLast period: $1.12M

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate Race?

Iowa Senate winner? (Person)

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Josh Turek

Josh Turek

News

Can the Democrats Take Back the Senate?

Democrats want to flip Iowa's US Senate seat. Will they choose Wahls?

Local Democrats back Wahls in US Senate primary

Woodbury County Auditor & Recorder - Ad from 2026-05-16

National Democrats to spend $13M targeting Hinson in Iowa Senate race

Vance or Rubio in 2028? For Trump, it’s an ongoing question.

Roy Cooper's Chances of Beating Whatley to Flip North Carolina's GOP Senate Seat Surge-New Poll

Local TV stars around US are running for Congress

Tax Cuts Collide With Inflation as Voters Weigh Trump's Economy in the Midterms

3 takeaways from the Iowa Democratic US Senate primary debate

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Iowa Democratic Senate nominee?

Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Iowa Senate winner?

Iowa Governor winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Josh Turek

Josh Turek

News

Can the Democrats Take Back the Senate?

Democrats want to flip Iowa's US Senate seat. Will they choose Wahls?

Local Democrats back Wahls in US Senate primary

Woodbury County Auditor & Recorder - Ad from 2026-05-16

National Democrats to spend $13M targeting Hinson in Iowa Senate race

Vance or Rubio in 2028? For Trump, it’s an ongoing question.

Roy Cooper's Chances of Beating Whatley to Flip North Carolina's GOP Senate Seat Surge-New Poll

Local TV stars around US are running for Congress

Tax Cuts Collide With Inflation as Voters Weigh Trump's Economy in the Midterms

3 takeaways from the Iowa Democratic US Senate primary debate

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Iowa Democratic Senate nominee?

Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Iowa Senate winner?

Iowa Governor winner?