State Lean
Lean Republican
Battleground watch
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Iowa Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Iowa Senate winner?
$11.4M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52% | 46.0% | — | |
| 50% | 46.3% | $6.28M |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$11.4M
24h volume
$1.3M
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Iowa · US Senate
Lean RepublicanOpen seatBattleground watch
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Jun 2, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
In-person absentee voting generally runs from 20 days before Election Day through the day before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
A new poll shows Republican Ashley Hinson ahead of Democrat Josh Turek by 5 points in Iowa’s 2026 Senate race. The story also says prediction markets favor Hinson. Hinson is already the GOP nominee after winning the Republican primary. The new poll and cited market sentiment both point toward Republicans. It likely reinforces Hinson’s position, though the race is still months away.
Articles
L5Live 5 News WCSC1 day ago
GOP closely watching Iowa and Kansas
Iowa and Kansas are now battlegrounds in Senate races.
CCNBC1 day ago
Prediction market traders now see nearly 75% chance of Democrats winning the Senate
Just a day before the midterms, Kalshi traders give Democrats a 74% of controlling the Senate.
MLM Live Michigan 1 day ago
Senate midterms 2026: Latest polls show GOP trouble in battleground states
In order to flip the Senate, Democrats need to keep control of their 47 seats and gain four more.
SSlate2 days ago
This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.
The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.
N5NBC 5 Chicago1 day ago
Election 2026: Races to watch in the House, Senate
The 2026 election is nearly here, and battles for control of the U.S. Senate and House are continuing to heat up
UNU.S. News & World Report2 days ago
The Latest: Democrat Who Lost Michigan Senate Primary Backs Republican in General Election Contest
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.3%
46.0%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$10M
$7.5M
$5M
$2.5M
$0
J. Turek
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
J. TurekJosh Turek$6.28MContrib: $6.28M
$2.36MSpent: $3.91M
$217.5KLast period: $2.79M
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Iowa Senate winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC