$1.0M
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 6, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley HinsonRepublican | 60% | 46.1% | — |
| Josh TurekDemocratic | 40% | 45.4% | $6.28M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Early polling shows Ashley Hinson narrowly leading Josh Turek in Iowa’s 2026 Senate race. Analysts say Democrats are not fully converting anti-Trump sentiment into votes, even with Trump’s approval weak. Hinson remains the GOP nominee after winning the Republican primary. The polling keeps Republicans slightly favored, but the race looks competitive. Weak Trump approval has not yet translated into a clear Democratic edge, leaving some uncertainty.
Byron York warned that while Republicans are favored to hold the Senate in 2026, the party’s narrow path to maintaining its majority has become precarious.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
President Trump-backed Rep. Randy Feenstra conceded to businessman Zach Lahn in the Iowa GOP primary for Senate, marking a rare endorsement defeat for the president in the primaries.
Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-IA) soared to victory on Tuesday night in the Republican primary for Iowa's U.S. Senate seat.
Iowa voters will chose candidates in the Senate race and also for their House seats in primary elections Tuesday, June 2.
By THOMAS BEAUMONT and JACK BROOK NEW ORLEANS (AP) — U.S. Sen. Bill Cassidy is fighting for his political life in Louisiana’s Republican primary on Saturday as he faces a challenge backed by President Donald Trump, the latest attempt by the president to purge the party of politicians he views as disloyal. Trump endorsed U.S. […]
State Rep. Josh Turek and state Sen. Zach Wahls are emphasizing their ability to take on U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa's U.S. Senate race.
Recent national surveys show Democrats ahead in Senate races, warning Republicans over Donald Trump ties and voter concerns.
Former President Barack Obama backed Democratic Iowa state Rep. Josh Turek for U.S. Senate as the candidate competes against Trump-backed U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 8, 2026 and Aug 4, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Iowa local elected leaders
Dozens of Iowa mayors, county supervisors, and other local elected leaders endorsed Ashley Hinson's U.S. Senate campaign.
Senate Republican leaders
Senate Republican leaders backed Ashley Hinson for Iowa's U.S. Senate race.
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks endorsed Ashley Hinson for U.S. Senate.
Tim Scott
National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair Tim Scott endorsed Ashley Hinson for U.S. Senate.
7 Iowa labor organizations
Seven Iowa labor organizations endorsed Josh Turek for U.S. Senate.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. TurekJosh TurekSource: FEC
