$2.1M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 8, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 46.6% | — | |
| 37% | 47.0% | $6.28M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Iowa’s 2026 Senate race has moved into toss-up territory, making it one of the more competitive GOP-held seats. A new poll still shows Ashley Hinson ahead by 5 points, and Republicans are spending heavily to defend the seat. Democrats are treating Iowa as a real pickup opportunity. The toss-up rating points to a more competitive race and higher uncertainty. The recent poll and market references still give Republicans a modest edge, but not a secure one.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republicans appeared to have a firm grip on the Senate heading into the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term. But with less than t
Trump-endorsed GOP candidate faces midterm test in cattle country after calling the president's new import policy a “bad idea.”
The number of Republican-held Senate seats that are toss-ups or lean Democratic has surged from three in May to six as the post-Labor Day midterm homestretch is about to begin, according to a top handicapper.
National eyes are returning to Iowa as a potentially pivotal spot for determining control of Congress, writes the Register's editorial board.
Republicans appeared to have a firm grip on the Senate heading into the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term. But with less than two months until Election Day, control of the chamber is now up for grabs.
Ashley Hinson met Iowa sheriffs to discuss rural law enforcement funding, technology and privacy while criticizing opponent Josh Turek’s record.
Over the last year or so, President Donald Trump has sometimes pointed to Vice President JD Vance as his preference for the 2028 Republican presidential
The former vice president is one of the Democratic Party’s most prominent figures, but some Democrats think her brand is too toxic to help their campaigns.
Governor Greg Abbott holds a razor-thin lead in Texas, with a new poll pointing to a much closer gubernatorial race than in 2022.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 3, 2026 and Sep 1, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. TurekJosh TurekSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
