$2.9M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 21, 2026, 9:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 45.2% | — | |
| 41% | 45.9% | $6.28M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new poll shows Republican Ashley Hinson ahead of Democrat Josh Turek by 5 points in Iowa’s 2026 Senate race. The story also says prediction markets favor Hinson. Hinson is already the GOP nominee after winning the Republican primary. The new poll and cited market sentiment both point toward Republicans. It likely reinforces Hinson’s position, though the race is still months away.
Opinion: Though unlikely, if independents perform well in the midterms, neither party might control the U.S. Senate, writes Dave Anderson.
A Republican governor candidate doesn’t want anyone renting near his mansion, our must-read newsletter The Swamp reveals.
Democratic Senate candidates entered summer with a cash edge, while Trump-linked groups now pour money into increasingly crowded and costly ad markets.
Vice President JD Vance is heading to Iowa for the second time this year to campaign for Republican majorities in Congress. He'll headline a midterm rally Friday in Council Bluffs, a state with...
CNN's Harry Enton delivered a dire warning to Democrats just weeks before the 2026 midterm elections.
DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Big money groups aligned with President Donald Trump are pouring huge sums of cash into midterm races in the final sprint toward Electio
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 26, 2026 and Sep 18, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. TurekJosh TurekSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
