Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.1%
45.4%
Republican
Trump Endorsed
Trump Endorsed
$1.0M
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Ashley Hinson is trading at 60% to win the Iowa Senate winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age43 years old (Jun 27, 1983)
GenderFemale
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LocationIowa
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationUniversity of Southern California — B.A., Broadcast Journalism (2004)
Notable personal detailsAshley Elizabeth Hinson is a Republican politician and former television journalist serving as the U.S. Representative for Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District (in office since January 3, 2021; the district was numbered IA-01 during her first term). She previously served in the Iowa House of Representatives (2017–2021) and worked as a reporter/anchor for KCRG-TV in Cedar Rapids. She earned a B.A. in Broadcast Journalism from the University of Southern California. She is married to Matt Arenholz and they have two sons.
SourcesShowHide
hinson.house.goven.wikipedia.orgcookpolitical.comashleyhinson.comde.wikipedia.orgthegreenpapers.comiowacapitaldispatch.comawpc.cattcenter.iastate.edues.wikipedia.orgthegazette.comradioiowa.comwashingtonpost.comdscc.orgkcrg.combreitbart.compolitico.comhinsonforgovernor.comthehill.comdesmoinesregister.comktiv.comafpaction.comapnews.comnonpareilonline.comnytimes.comweareiowa.comap.orgwashingtonexaminer.comnewsweek.comnz.news.yahoo.comquiverquant.comkcci.comnews10.comiowademocrats.orghistory.house.govclerk.house.govcongress.govgovinfo.govwikidata.orgbioguide.congress.govsubstack.govtrack.usdeveloper.ballotpedia.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgethics.house.govdirectory.house.govhouse.govdocquery.fec.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports extending and making permanent provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and other tax cuts, promotes lowering taxes for working families and small businesses, and emphasizes reining in federal spending and balancing the budget. Backed recent Republican tax-and-spending legislation described by her campaign and public statements as preventing tax increases and delivering tax relief to families and small businesses.
Healthcare
Opposes expanding government-run health coverage and criticizes the Affordable Care Act; supports Republican legislation that would reduce federal Medicaid spending and favors market-based approaches to lowering costs. Has voted against extensions of enhanced ACA premium tax credits and described insurance as not something the government must provide to every American.
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Immigration & Border
The candidate emphasizes stronger border security and increased immigration enforcement, including empowering ICE and deporting individuals she describes as dangerous. She has supported legislation to exclude noncitizens from census apportionment, backed measures to limit asylum and end “catch and release,” and voted for laws to prevent noncitizen voter registration while expressing support for targeted fixes like DACA for some DREAMERs.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate supports pro-life policies and has opposed federal protections for abortion access. She has cosponsored legislation that would grant legal personhood at conception and would effectively ban abortion nationwide. She has expressed support for Iowa’s restrictive abortion laws and opposed the Women’s Health Protection Act.
Climate & Energy
Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy strategy that includes renewables (especially Iowa wind and biofuels) while promoting expanded domestic fossil fuel and nuclear production, reducing regulatory barriers, and advocating for increased use of ethanol (E15).
Public Safety & Guns
Supports protecting Second Amendment rights and opposes broad federal gun-control measures; has sponsored legislation to remove the $200 NFA transfer tax and backed concealed-carry reciprocity and other measures expanding gun-owner rights. Emphasizes support for law-abiding gun owners while opposing what she calls sweeping anti-firearm regulations.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026
Ashley Hinson is now the Republican nominee for Iowa’s 2026 U.S. Senate race and will face Democrat Josh Turek in the general election. The race is drawing heavy attention, with recent reports showing Turek outraised Hinson in the latest quarter, even though Hinson still has a much larger cash advantage. Barack Obama has since endorsed Turek, while Donald Trump has endorsed Hinson, underscoring how competitive and nationalized the contest has become. Hinson has also been making campaign arguments on issues like Iran, climate rules, and costs for Iowa families.
hinson.house.gov+45
Articles
WEWashington Examiner10 days ago
Obama endorses Iowa representative Josh Turek for US Senate seat
Positive
ATAmes Tribune22 days ago
Turek leads in quarterly Senate fundraising. Hinson holds 3X more cash
Negative
NNewsmax2 months ago
Trump-Backed Rep. Hinson Wins Iowa GOP Senate Primary
Neutral
NNewsweek2 months ago
Josh Turek’s Chances of Beating Ashley Hinson, According to Polls
Neutral
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Ashley Hinson currently averages 46.1%, ranking first in this race, 0.7 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 46.1%Position: firstMargin: +0.7 ptsLatest poll: 47.5% (Aug 2 - 4)Polls included: 9
Average recalculated from polls through Aug 2 - 4.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
Iowa Republican Senate nominee?
Endorsers of Ashley Hinson for Iowa Republican Senate nominee?
Donald Trump
Public figure
Donald Trump endorsed Ashley Hinson for the U.S. Senate race in Iowa.
Iowa local elected leaders
Labor organization
Dozens of Iowa mayors, county supervisors, and other local elected leaders endorsed Ashley Hinson's U.S. Senate campaign.
Senate Republican leaders
Public endorsement
Senate Republican leaders backed Ashley Hinson for Iowa's U.S. Senate race.
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Public endorsement
Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks endorsed Ashley Hinson for U.S. Senate.
Kim Reynolds
Public figure
Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds endorsed Ashley Hinson in her U.S. Senate bid.
Joni Ernst
Public figure
Joni Ernst endorsed Ashley Hinson for the U.S. Senate race in Iowa.
John Thune
Public figure
Senate Majority Leader John Thune endorsed Ashley Hinson for U.S. Senate.
Tim Scott
Political organization
National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair Tim Scott endorsed Ashley Hinson for U.S. Senate.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2024Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$7.2M
$5.4M
$3.6M
$1.8M
$0
2022
2024
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$7.2M
$68.4K
$7.2M
$301.7K
Cycle 2024
$5.6M
$1.9M
$3.7M
$155.9K
Source: FEC