Prediction Edge
Republican
Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

Republican candidate for Governor in Alaska

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Bernadette Wilson is trading at 28% to win the Alaska Governor winner? (Person) on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEntrepreneur

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderFemale

LocationAlaska

Show more

BackgroundEntrepreneur

Notable personal detailsBernadette M. Wilson is a Republican candidate for Governor of Alaska in 2026. She is an Anchorage-based small business owner and entrepreneur, and has led conservative advocacy and policy organizations, including serving as interim executive director/CEO of the Alaska Policy Forum and as state director for Americans for Prosperity–Alaska. Wilson has also worked in media as a television and radio host and is the majority owner of the Anchorage waste management company Denali Disposal.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate advocates for small government, economic freedom, and restoring the Permanent Fund Dividend while opposing new taxes. She has signed a no-tax pledge and promotes across-the-board spending cuts and right-sizing government to preserve the PFD and reduce government size. Her campaign emphasizes developing natural resources and pro-growth, pro-business policies as ways to revive Alaska’s economy.

Healthcare

The candidate has taken public positions on reproductive-health policy (supported parental-notification for minors seeking abortions and has been active in rallies critical of Planned Parenthood). There is no clear, detailed statement on broader health‑care system policy (Medicaid, ACA, public option, Medicare for All) on the campaign’s issues pages or other readily available campaign materials.

Show more

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has a history of supporting parental-notification requirements for minors seeking abortion and has been active in conservative campaigns aimed at restricting abortion access. Her public activity includes managing a 2010 ballot initiative that would have required parental notification for minors seeking abortions.

Climate & Energy

The candidate supports developing Alaska’s oil, gas, and mineral resources and prioritizes energy development and economic growth while also expressing interest in protecting fisheries. Policy language emphasizes building infrastructure and resource development (AKLNG, NPRA, ANWR, Willow, Ambler Road) rather than aggressive emissions-reduction measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 7, 2026

Bernadette Wilson is in the news as a Republican candidate in Alaska’s governor race, where she has been promoting larger Permanent Fund dividend promises to voters. She also recently drew criticism after the sons of former Gov. Wally Hickel asked her to stop using his image and legacy in campaign materials. The race is active ahead of the Aug. 18 primary, with candidates still campaigning for spots in the November general election.

aws.state.ak.us+41

Latest Polls

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Bernadette Wilson currently averages 17.3%, ranking second in this race, 8.4 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 17.3%Position: secondMargin: -8.4 ptsLatest poll: 21.8% (Apr 16 - 19)Polls included: 19

Average recalculated from polls through Apr 16 - 19.

Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
17.3%
25.7%
15.4%
12.8%
10.4%
8.2%
5%
Bernadette Wilson
B. Wilson
Tom Begich
T. Begich
Dave Bronson
D. Bronson
Nancy Dahlstrom
N. Dahlstrom
Click Bishop
C. Bishop
Shelley Hughes
S. Hughes
Adam Crum
A. Crum
Treg Taylor
T. Taylor
Edna DeVries
E. DeVries
Date (Start - End)SpreadWilsonBegichBronsonDahlstromBishopHughesCrumTaylorDeVries
Polling Average
Begich+8.4
17.3%25.7%15.4%12.8%10.4%8.2%5.0%3.3%2.5%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Begich+19.2
21.8%41.0%18.6%18.7%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Begich+13.0
30.9%43.9%25.2%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Begich+7.8
46.1%53.9%
Lake Research PartnersFeb 5 - 11
Begich+22.0
16.0%38.0%13.0%8.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Wilson+1.0
10.0%9.0%6.0%3.0%5.0%5.0%3.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+1.0
12.0%13.0%7.0%4.0%6.0%5.0%3.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Wilson+0.0
13.0%13.0%7.0%5.0%8.0%5.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+1.0
13.0%14.0%8.0%9.0%6.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+3.0
13.0%16.0%8.0%10.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+5.0
14.0%19.0%11.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+5.0
18.0%23.0%
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 14
Begich+22.2
19.2%41.4%19.3%20.1%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+0.0
13.0%8.0%13.0%8.0%5.0%3.0%3.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Wilson+1.0
11.0%6.0%10.0%6.0%4.0%3.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Wilson+0.0
14.0%8.0%14.0%8.0%5.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+1.0
14.0%8.0%15.0%9.0%5.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+2.0
15.0%9.0%17.0%10.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+3.0
16.0%19.0%10.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+4.0
19.0%23.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Endorsers of Bernadette Wilson for Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

District 28 Republicans

Elected official

District 28 Republicans endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor.

Learn more

Districts 6, 9, 11, 26, and 30 Republicans

Elected official

Districts 6, 9, 11, 26, and 30 Republicans endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor.

Learn more

Alaska Republican Party District 6

Elected official

Alaska Republican Party District 6 endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor.

Learn more

Valley Republican Women's Club

Elected official

Valley Republican Women's Club endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor.

Learn more

Valley Republican Women of Alaska

Elected official

Valley Republican Women of Alaska endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor.

Learn more

Byron Donalds

Elected official

Byron Donalds endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor.

Learn more

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising