Prediction Edge
Independent
Bill Hill

Bill Hill

Independent candidate for U.S. House in Alaska

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Bill Hill is trading at 10% to win the Alaska House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCommercial fisherman

PartyIndependent

Political ideologyProgressive Independent

LocationAlaska

BackgroundCommercial fisherman

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EducationUniversity of Alaska Anchorage (secondary education alumnus)

Notable personal detailsBill Hill is an independent candidate for Alaska’s at-large U.S. House seat in the 2026 election cycle. He has worked as a commercial fisherman and spent more than 25 years as an educator, including as superintendent of the Bristol Bay Borough School District, and was named Alaska Superintendent of the Year for 2023. Hill is Dena’ina Athabascan and is from the Bristol Bay region; he has described growing up in Kokhanok on Iliamna Lake and later living in Bristol Bay with his wife, Diane.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports measures to make billionaires and large corporations pay more and to end tax handouts to wealthy individuals and big companies while lowering costs for working families. He advocates investing in Alaskan jobs and schools and combating corruption perceived to benefit wealthy interests.

Healthcare

Supports lowering healthcare costs by extending Affordable Care Act tax credits and lowering premiums; favors keeping healthcare affordable while protecting individual healthcare decision-making. Emphasizes using federal policy to reduce premiums and expand affordability for Alaskans.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security as part of efforts to stop the flow of fentanyl into the United States and emphasizes a "strong, secure border." No detailed policy proposals on asylum, deportation, or pathways to legal status are provided on campaign materials reviewed.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all of the above" energy approach that seeks to lower Alaskans' energy and heating costs by both maximizing oil and natural gas production and restoring tax credits for renewable projects. Policy language emphasizes bringing energy projects and jobs to Alaska rather than endorsing aggressive emissions limits or explicit climate-target legislation.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports protecting gun rights and opposes government overreach into Alaskans' way of life, listing gun rights alongside subsistence rights in campaign materials.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026

Bill Hill is running as an independent in Alaska’s at-large U.S. House race, where he remains one of the main challengers to Republican incumbent Nick Begich after Democrat Matt Schultz ended his campaign. Hill has been active on the campaign trail, including an Anchorage forum where he discussed climate change, healthcare, resource development, and AI data centers. He has also drawn some public support, including an endorsement in an opinion piece, but the race is still being shaped by Begich’s fundraising advantage and the broader ranked-choice contest.

billhillforalaskans.com+51

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
34.6%
Bill Hill
B. Hill
Date (Start - End)SpreadHill
Polling Average
34.6%
Alaska Survey ResearchAug 2 - 5
34.4%
Alaska Survey ResearchAug 2 - 5
46.5%
Alaska Survey ResearchAug 2 - 5
33.2%
GBAOAug 3 - 5
42.0%
Data for ProgressJul 28 - Aug 4
37.0%
The Bullfinch GroupJul 13 - 16
20.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 18 - 27
48.0%
Change ResearchMar 17 - 20
13.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 11 - 12
37.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

13
Alaska House winner?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.3M
$1.0M
$668.1K
$334.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.3M
$515.9K
$820.4K
$43.2K

Source: FEC