$31.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 7, 2026, 12:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest update is that Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race has been shifted from lean Republican to toss-up. The race is heading toward an August nonpartisan primary, and Dan Sullivan is facing an expected challenge from Mary Peltola. The Alaska Senate race looks more competitive, which may slightly weaken Republican confidence in the state. The move to toss-up increases uncertainty around the broader Alaska political environment.
Welcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump plans to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general and the Senate begins voting on amendments to ICE and Border Patrol funding.
Democrats have high hopes in the five districts redrawn last year under Proposition 50. But they haven't had it all their own way.
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
Former U.S. Rep. Cori Bush is attempting a political comeback in a Missouri Democratic primary. Her rematch against Rep.
The president's approval rating in 11 states that he carried by double-digit margins in the 2024 election, according to Civiqs.
By Patrick Svitek, CNN (CNN) — At 78, Joe Manchin is stepping back into politics. A year and a half after leaving office fed up with the major parties, the former West Virginia senator is launching a new effort, the Independent Leadership Council, to recruit and support independent candidates across the country. “We’re not trying
Even if the Platner campaign’s implosion saves Susan Collins, Democrats have enough opportunities elsewhere to flip the Senate.
Dan J. Sullivan and Dan S. Sullivan are both vying for a Senate seat in Alaska. Who will take the Last Frontier? Jon Allsop reports.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 28, 2025 and Jul 16, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America
The United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America endorsed Bill Hill.
Employee Political Information Committee EPIC Alaska
Employee Political Information Committee EPIC Alaska endorsed Bill Hill.
Advance Native Political Leadership
Advance Native Political Leadership endorsed Bill Hill for U.S. House.
Alaska Professional Fire Fighters
Alaska Professional Fire Fighters endorsed Bill Hill for U.S. House.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. HillBill HillSource: FEC
