Race Rating
Likely Republican
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Republican
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Alaska House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Alaska House winner?
$143.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 49.0% | $5.47M | |
| 21% | 39.8% | $1.34M |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$143.1K
24h volume
$46.3K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Alaska At-large District · US House
Likely RepublicanRepublicanDistrict contextCompetitive House rating
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Nicholas J. Begich III (R)
Election Rules
Primary Aug 18, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Why it matters
The district is rated Likely Republican, so turnout and late-cycle spending may have outsized effects.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
The biggest update is a broader Republican turnout push, with Alaska named among the races where GOP enthusiasm is a concern. Trump is trying to drive turnout by putting himself at the center of the 2026 campaign. There is no new Alaska House result or candidate development in the summaries. The news is mostly about Republican turnout concerns, which could slightly weaken GOP confidence in Alaska. But it does not provide a direct Alaska House polling or result update, so the market impact is limited and uncertain.
Articles
NNewsweek13 hours ago
The US Takes a Deep Breath Before the Post-Midterms Plunge Into Chaos
From Iran to impeachment, it's all coming after a vote that will define the last two years of the Trump era.
SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press1 day ago
Dan Sullivan episode takes ominous turn as FBI comes knocking in Alaska
The Trump administration weighs criminal charges over potential "ballot stacking" in the Alaska Senate race's Dan Sullivan saga.
SSFGATE1 day ago
The Latest: Democrats and Republicans make a final push one day before midterm elections
President Donald Trump closed out the final weekend of a turbulent midterm campaign with rallies in two states he had handily won in the past. At the same time, Democrats began to fracture in...
FNFox News1 day ago
LEE CARTER: Five words explain the election - and none of them is 'hope'
Affordability, socialism, corruption, Donald Trump and turnout are the five words that explain the 2026 midterm election better than billions in political ads.
UTUSA TODAY2 days ago
Midterm upheaval: The campaign is reshaping politics for Trump, Dems
Dissatisfaction with those in charge has been the default of America's dyspeptic politics for a decade. That's still true this time around.
NNewsweek1 day ago
How Early Voting Surged in Senate Battlegrounds Compared to Prior Midterms
Millions of Americans have already cast their ballots in states hosting some of the country's most closely watched Senate battles.
FNFox News6 days ago
HUGH HEWITT: The Senate secret weapon that could save Republicans next week
Senate race analysis breaks down key 2026 matchups including Susan Collins in Maine, Jon Husted in Ohio, Mike Rogers in Michigan, and Dan Sullivan in Alaska.
TAThe Associated Press3 months ago
Parties are looking past Alaska's primary to pivotal matchups in the fall
A U.S. Senate contest featuring a former congresswoman and a challenger with the same name as the incumbent headlines Alaska's primary.
WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit3 months ago
2 Dan Sullivans face off in Alaska's US Senate primary, which also features a former congresswoman
A U.S. Senate contest featuring a former congresswoman and a challenger with the same name as the incumbent headlines Alaska's primary.
CNCable News Network8 days ago
Trump has made transactional promises in roughly half of states holding key Senate contests
President Donald Trump kicked off his general election push by making voters a highly controversial offer. Now he’s gone quite a bit further — and more localized — with his quid pro quos.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
49.0%
39.8%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jul 29, 2026$10M
$7.5M
$5M
$2.5M
$0
N. Begich
B. Hill
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
N. BegichNick Begich$5.47MContrib: $3.82M
$3.12MSpent: $2.46M
$129.2KLast period: $191.1K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 29, 2026
B. HillBill Hill$1.34MContrib: $1.33M
$515.9KSpent: $820.4K
$43.2KLast period: $157.9K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 29, 2026
Source: FEC
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Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
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